Presidential Elections

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Perspective said:
I'm not making a prediction. I know how poorly educated and terribly informed we are in the US, much less how bigoted we are. He could very well become President.
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Well, if we were really that bigoted, then explain the last 8 years of Obama.

:)
 
Ohio, Penn & Florida.

Pretty much Trump needs all three.  At an absolute minimum, he has to get two and almost all the other battle ground States.

If Clinton takes Georgia, she likely wins.

As State level polls stand today, if Trump loses Ohio (the smallest of the three), he needs to take every other battle ground State except New Hampshire and Iowa (or  take both of those and either Wis or Missouri)

If Clinton takes Penn, Trump needs to take the rest and either NH or IA.

Florida loss, he's Kalua Pork.

So basically, everything boils down to one thing, the 'undecided' show up and vote roughly 70/30 for Trump or the polls need be at the far extent of their margin of error.
http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytime...and-worst-in-the-2012-presidential-race/?_r=0
 
irvinehomeowner said:
Perspective said:
I'm not making a prediction. I know how poorly educated and terribly informed we are in the US, much less how bigoted we are. He could very well become President.
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Well, if we were really that bigoted, then explain the last 8 years of Obama.

:)
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Obama was/is so scandal-free, unlike Clinton, that "they" had to manufacture silliness to de-legitimize his Presidency - that Obama wasn't born here and is a Muslim. The King of the ridiculous birther movement is now the Republican nominee for President. Insane stuff...
 
Perspective said:
It's 9:15 am PST. Can someone tell me where Trump's immigration plan is at this hour?  :o
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19wtvs.jpg
 
When I heard that comment, it reminded me of leaving Staples (Laker games) or the Hollywood Bowl, and seeing the folks every 100 feet grilling hot dogs on top of shopping carts.
 
Perspective said:
eyephone said:
Perspective said:
eyephone said:
I do agree with Trump's response regarding kaepernick.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/vi...find_a_country_that_works_better_for_him.html
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Why do you think it bothers you so much?
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http://www.breitbart.com/sports/201...on-colin-kaepernick-f-that-guy-hes-a-traitor/
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Did you just cite Breitbart.com? Really?
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Here's another site. The quotes from nfl execs are kind of harsh.
http://www.nj.com/sports/index.ssf/2016/09/colin_kaepernick_nfl_executives.html
 
morekaos said:
I disagree, I bet you see a jump in his polls in the coming
week...we shall see who is right
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Trump tops Clinton 45% to 43% in the new survey,

Clinton's convention propelled her to an 8-point lead among registered voters in an early-August CNN/ORC Poll. Clinton's lead has largely evaporated despite a challenging month for Trump, which saw an overhaul of his campaign staff, announcements of support for Clinton from several high-profile Republicans and criticism of his campaign strategy.

http://www.cnn.com/2016/09/06/_politics-zone-injection/trump-vs-clinton-presidential-polls-election-2016/index.html

That is an uptick. 
 
Perspective said:
Let's not confuse national polls with probability of winning the electoral college and therefore becoming President. The latter is still showing a ~74% chance Clinton would be the next President, if the election were held today.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/?ex_cid=rrpromo

Trump's probability has doubled from ~13% a couple weeks ago to ~26% today! I'm guessing his low energy odd photo op with the Mexican President yesterday, followed immediately by his HIGH energy bombastic contradictory speech in AZ last night might cause his poll numbers some pain.
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Even Nate Silver has to notice...

Election Update: Clinton?s Lead Keeps Shrinking
10 questions as the stretch run begins.

By Nate Silver

Filed under 2016 Election

Published SEP 6, 2016

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-clintons-lead-keeps-shrinking/
 
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