Once again...nothing to be done but prayers and thoughts

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Yes , hate Krugman all you want but his points are very valid here


The Force of Decency Awakens


https://www.nytimes.com/2018/02/26/opinion/the-force-of-decency-awakens.html?action=click&contentCollection=Opinion&module=Trending&version=Full&region=Marginalia&pgtype=article


A funny thing is happening on the American scene: a powerful upwelling of decency. Suddenly, it seems as if the worst lack all conviction, while the best are filled with a passionate intensity. We don?t yet know whether this will translate into political change. But we may be in the midst of a transformative moment.

You can see the abrupt turn toward decency in the rise of the #MeToo movement; in a matter of months ground that had seemed immovable shifted, and powerful sexual predators started facing career-ending consequences.

You can see it in the reactions to the Parkland school massacre. For now, at least, the usual reaction to mass killings ? a day or two of headlines, then a sort of collective shrug by the political class and a return to its normal obeisance to the gun lobby ? isn?t playing out. Instead, the story is staying at the top of the news, and associating with the N.R.A. is starting to look like the political and business poison it should have been all along.

And I?d argue that you can see it at the ballot box, where hard-right politicians in usually reliable Republican districts keep being defeated thanks to surging activism by ordinary citizens.

This isn?t what anyone, certainly not the political commentariat, expected.

After the 2016 election many in the news media seemed all too ready to assume that Trumpism represented the real America, even though Hillary Clinton had won the popular vote and ? Russian intervention and the Comey letter aside ? would surely have won the electoral vote, too, but for the Big Sneer, the derisive tone adopted by countless reporters and pundits. There have been hundreds if not thousands of stories about grizzled Trump supporters sitting in diners, purportedly showing the out-of-touchness of our cultural elite.

Even the huge anti-Trump demonstrations just after Inauguration Day didn?t seem to move the conventional wisdom. But those pink pussy hats may have represented the beginning of real social and political change.

Political scientists have a term and a theory for what we?re seeing on #MeToo, guns and perhaps more: ?regime change cascades.?

Here?s how it works: When people see the status quo as immovable, they tend to be passive even if they are themselves dissatisfied. Indeed, they may be unwilling to reveal their discontent, or to fully admit it to themselves. But once they see others visibly taking a stand, they both gain more confidence in their dissent and become more willing to act on it ? and by their actions they may induce the same response in others, causing a kind of chain reaction.

Such cascades explain how huge political upheavals can quickly emerge, seemingly out of nowhere. Examples include the revolutions that swept Europe in 1848, the sudden collapse of communism in 1989 and the Arab Spring of 2011.


Now, nothing says that such cascades have to be positive either in their motivations or in their results. The period 2016-17 clearly represented a sort of Alt-Right Spring ? springtime for fascists? ? in which white supremacists and anti-Semites were emboldened not just by Donald Trump?s election but by the evidence that there were more like-minded people than anyone realized, both in the U.S. and Europe. Meanwhile, historians have described 1848 as a turning point where history somehow failed to turn: At the end of the day the old, corrupt regimes were still standing.

I nevertheless find the surge of indignation now building in America hugely encouraging. And yes, I think it?s all one surge. The #MeToo movement, the refusal to shrug off the Parkland massacre, the new political activism of outraged citizens (many of them women) all stem from a common perception: namely, that it?s not just about ideology, but that far too much power rests in the hands of men who are simply bad people.

And Exhibit A for that proposition is, of course, the tweeter in chief himself.

At the same time, what strikes me about the reaction to this growing backlash is not just its vileness, but its lameness. Trump?s response to Parkland ? let?s arm teachers! ? wasn?t just stupid, it was cowardly, an attempt to duck the issue, and I think many people realized that. Or consider how the Missouri G.O.P. has responded to the indictment of Gov. Eric Greitens, accused of trying to blackmail his lover with nude photos: by blaming ? George Soros. I am not making this up.

Or consider the growing wildness of speeches by right-wing luminaries like Wayne LaPierre of the N.R.A. They?ve pretty much given up on making any substantive case for their ideas in favor of rants about socialists trying to take away your freedom. It?s scary stuff, but it?s also kind of whiny; it?s what people sound like when they know they?re losing the argument.

Again, there?s no guarantee that the forces of decency will win. In particular, the U.S. electoral system is in effect rigged in favor of Republicans, so Democrats will need to win the popular vote by something like seven percentage points to take the House. But we?re seeing a real uprising here, and there?s every reason to hope that change is coming.
 
Too much for so little.

Schools safer today than in 1990s, study on shootings says


Despite the horror of the high school massacre in Florida, U.S. schools overall are safer today than they were in the early 1990s, and there is not an epidemic of such shootings, a new academic study is reporting.

Researchers at Northeastern University say mass school shootings are extremely rare, that shootings involving students have been declining since the 1990s, and four times as many children were killed in schools in the early 1990s than today.

https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/27/schools-safer-today-1990s-study-shootings-says/
 
Not someone you want to quote in hopes he's right...this time...if anything he bolsters the opposite case. He will be wrong...again.

Fact Checking Paul Krugman's Claim To Be "Right About Everything"

But can the debate really be as one-sided as I portray it? Well, look at the results: again and again, people on the opposite side prove to have used bad logic, bad data, the wrong historical analogies, or all of the above. I?m Krugtron the Invincible!

Thus wrote the great Paul Krugman. A man so modest as to proclaim that ?I think I can say without false modesty, a huge win; I (and those of like mind) have been right about everything.?

Quite a claim. Indeed, predictions are extraordinarily difficult. Even to an expert in a subject who has dedicated his life to a field of study, predicting the future proves elusive. Daniel Kahneman referenced a study of 284 political and economic ?experts? and their predictions and found that ?The results were devastating. The experts performed worse than they would have if they had simply assigned equal probabilities to each of three potential outcomes.?

A whole book of such wildly inaccurate predictions by experts was compiled into the very humorous The Experts Speak with such prescient predictions as Dr. Alfred Velpeau?s ?The abolishment of pain in surgery is a chimera. It is absurd to go on seeking it? and Arthur Reynolds belief that ?This crash [of 1929] is not going to have much effect on business.? Indeed, a foundational block of Austrian economics (that some Austrians unfortunately forgot regarding premature predictions of hyperinflation) is that the sheer number of variables in the world at large makes accurate forecasting extraordinarily difficult.

So it must be a rare man indeed that can be right about everything. And this man, Paul Krugman is not.

https://mises.org/library/fact-checking-paul-krugmans-claim-be-right-about-everything
 
morekaos said:
Too much for so little.

Schools safer today than in 1990s, study on shootings says


Despite the horror of the high school massacre in Florida, U.S. schools overall are safer today than they were in the early 1990s, and there is not an epidemic of such shootings, a new academic study is reporting.

Researchers at Northeastern University say mass school shootings are extremely rare, that shootings involving students have been declining since the 1990s, and four times as many children were killed in schools in the early 1990s than today.

https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/27/schools-safer-today-1990s-study-shootings-says/

But haven't you heard? US schools are more dangerous than 3rd world countries.
 
Liar Loan said:
morekaos said:
Too much for so little.

Schools safer today than in 1990s, study on shootings says


Despite the horror of the high school massacre in Florida, U.S. schools overall are safer today than they were in the early 1990s, and there is not an epidemic of such shootings, a new academic study is reporting.

Researchers at Northeastern University say mass school shootings are extremely rare, that shootings involving students have been declining since the 1990s, and four times as many children were killed in schools in the early 1990s than today.

https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/27/schools-safer-today-1990s-study-shootings-says/

But haven't you heard? US schools are more dangerous than 3rd world countries.

You send your kids to private school. (So it doesn?t affect you?)
 
eyephone said:
Liar Loan said:
morekaos said:
Too much for so little.

Schools safer today than in 1990s, study on shootings says


Despite the horror of the high school massacre in Florida, U.S. schools overall are safer today than they were in the early 1990s, and there is not an epidemic of such shootings, a new academic study is reporting.

Researchers at Northeastern University say mass school shootings are extremely rare, that shootings involving students have been declining since the 1990s, and four times as many children were killed in schools in the early 1990s than today.

https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/27/schools-safer-today-1990s-study-shootings-says/

But haven't you heard? US schools are more dangerous than 3rd world countries.

You send your kids to private school. (So it doesn?t affect you?)

Breaking news alert:  Private schools are schools in the US.

Now name a 3rd world country that has safer schools.  You made the original claim, so this should be easy for you.
 
Liar Loan said:
eyephone said:
Liar Loan said:
morekaos said:
Too much for so little.

Schools safer today than in 1990s, study on shootings says


Despite the horror of the high school massacre in Florida, U.S. schools overall are safer today than they were in the early 1990s, and there is not an epidemic of such shootings, a new academic study is reporting.

Researchers at Northeastern University say mass school shootings are extremely rare, that shootings involving students have been declining since the 1990s, and four times as many children were killed in schools in the early 1990s than today.

https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/27/schools-safer-today-1990s-study-shootings-says/

But haven't you heard? US schools are more dangerous than 3rd world countries.

You send your kids to private school. (So it doesn?t affect you?)

Breaking news alert:  Private schools are schools in the US.

Now name a 3rd world country that has safer schools.  You made the original claim, so this should be easy for you.

Fortune already did.
 
President Trump and Ivanka Trump says School Safety is priority. I think you should get on he same page. Or maybe you disagree with them?

 
eyephone said:
Liar Loan said:
eyephone said:
Liar Loan said:
morekaos said:
Too much for so little.

Schools safer today than in 1990s, study on shootings says


Despite the horror of the high school massacre in Florida, U.S. schools overall are safer today than they were in the early 1990s, and there is not an epidemic of such shootings, a new academic study is reporting.

Researchers at Northeastern University say mass school shootings are extremely rare, that shootings involving students have been declining since the 1990s, and four times as many children were killed in schools in the early 1990s than today.

https://m.washingtontimes.com/news/2018/feb/27/schools-safer-today-1990s-study-shootings-says/

But haven't you heard? US schools are more dangerous than 3rd world countries.

You send your kids to private school. (So it doesn?t affect you?)

Breaking news alert:  Private schools are schools in the US.

Now name a 3rd world country that has safer schools.  You made the original claim, so this should be easy for you.

Fortune already did.

Then it should be super easy for you.  Just the name the country he listed.
 
Irvinecommuter said:
Happiness said:
irvinehomeowner said:
momopi said:
irvinehomeowner said:
So momopi wears light armor "every day"?
I thought he was in IT, not covert combat missions. :)
It's in my pack, I don't actively wear it.  In case of emergency, hold over vital body area (head/chest).
If an assailant sees you wearing plate carrier, they'd just shoot you in the head.  Cops might confuse you as the assailant as well.  Unless if you're wearing a jacket, it's difficult to hide plate carrier profile.
This just makes me have more questions.
Why do you have body armor with you?
I?m assuming you carry too. I remember seeing pics of you back in the IHB days and I never thought you were in the Jason Bourne/Jack Reacher/John Wick line of work.
You're more likely to get capped in a confrontation with Paris than momo.
If I ever get in a confrontation with momo...I would just invite him to eat some good ramen or Korean BBQ.


Sadly, being diabetic I have to cut down on carbs.  So I've been reduced to eating low carb ramen.

tonkotsuramen.jpg

https://www.house-foods.com/products/Tofu+Shirataki%2FShirataki/


Preppers typically do not like confrontations, because in SHTF scenario you cannot dial 911 to summon an ambulance.  The goal is to avoid confrontations, be discrete and hide in plain sight.  But if you get cornered by assailant where escape is not an option, then it's 2 to the chest and 1 to the head (Mozambique Drill).
 
I knew people were going to start attacking Krugman instantly instead of focusing on the merits of the actual article . 

But if we are going to play "attack the source". , at-least make a better selection next time on your source than a Neo Nazi Austrian website .  I can sympathize  though when are on the "Trump right"  these days its hard to pick off anything other than bottom of the barrel scarps for citing information. 

Here is what MISES.ORG is for the benefit of readers of this forum  --


he Mises Institute nurses grudges from the tail end of the disco era

Today, the Mises Institute and its associated LewRockwell.com website focus heavily on issues where they claim libertarians are wrongly alienating far-right support. Advocates of immigration reform are sneered at as ?open-borderites.?

Reason magazine, long the flagship popular population of the libertarian movement, is derided as ?[T]reason.? Rarely does a week go past without a broadside against the Cato Institute, nursing a grudge from the tail end of the disco era.

The Libertarian Party often becomes a target too. They particularly targeted Gov. Gary Johnson after his nomination as the party?s presidential candidate in 2016, with his campaign strategy of focusing on appeal to the ?fiscally conservative, socially liberal? center.

Mises Institute fellows have gushed in support of Donald Trump and the alt-right Steve Bannon

Then came Donald Trump and the rise of the alt-right. While most libertarians were horrified by his ascent, praise for the Donald has naturally flowed from Auburn.

Referring to Trump?s alt-right chief strategist Steve Bannon, the Rockwell blog gushed that ?Bannonism is libertarianism? because he represents ?Austrian Economics applied to culture.?

Long-simmering tensions between the Mises Institute and other, more mainstream libertarian organizations surged when Trumpish neo-Nazi groups and white nationalist pledged to ?Unite the Right? in their march on Charlottesville in August.

One of the sparks in the tenderbox was set off when Jeff Deist, currently Mises Institute?s president, gave a speech titled ?For a New Libertarian.? He extolled libertarians to care more about ?blood and soil and God and nationalism.?

As he explained, ?an Irishman is not an Aboriginal, a Buddhist is not a Rastafarian, a soccer mom is not a Russian.?

The phrase ?blood and soil? was one of the most notorious slogans of the Nazi Party. Days after Deist?s speech, hundreds of tiki-torch-wielding neo-Nazis would be chanting the same phrase as they terrorized Charlottesville in their support of a statue of Robert E. Lee.

The real Ludwig von Mises

This seems disturbingly dissonant to the memory of the man that many libertarians consider an intellectual hereo, Ludwig von Mises.

He was an immigrant refugee, a Jew who fled the Holocaust, an internationally-minded universalist, a staunch atheist harshly dismissive of the teachings of Christianity, and a consequentialist utilitarian.

Now, under his name, attacks are printed on ?open-borderites? and ?cosmopolitans? who fail to appreciate the importance of ?blood and soil,? the supremacy of ethnic distinctions and conservative Christianity.


 
In his own words...idjut! The messenger is not worth listening to.

Now comes the mother of all adverse effects ? and what it brings with it is a regime that will be ignorant of economic policy and hostile to any effort to make it work. Effective fiscal support for the Fed? Not a chance. In fact, you can bet that the Fed will lose its independence, and be bullied by cranks.

So we are very probably looking at a global recession, with no end in sight. I suppose we could get lucky somehow. But on economics, as on everything else, a terrible thing has just happened

Paul Krugman Election Day 2016
 
Does anyone really want these right wing nut jobs within 1000 feet of our kids  ?

Right, didn't think so.



In Oath Keepers Webinar, Student Gun Control Activists Are ?The Enemy?

https://talkingpointsmemo.com/muckraker/oath-keepers-webinar-parkland-student-activists-enemy

An Oath Keeper from Idaho in Bozeman, Montana. The "Oath Keepers" are a national, ultra-rightwing "Patriot" group comprised of former and active military, police and public safety personnel who have taken an oath to "uphold the Constitution" and to refuse to follow orders that they decide are unconstitutional.

The Oath Keepers militia group on Monday issued an official ?call to action? asking their members to serve as voluntary armed guards at U.S. schools, in order to intervene in the event of a mass shooting.

But the group doesn?t seem to think much of some of the students they say they want to protect.

During a meandering Monday night webinar held by the far-right, anti-government group, the gun writer David Codrea referred to Emma Gonz?lez and David Hogg, survivors of the Valentine?s Day school shooting in Parkland, Florida as ?the enemy.?


Gonz?lez and Hogg have been at the forefront of a student activist movement urging Congress to pass gun control legislation.

Codrea, a writer for the Oath Keepers and War on Guns blogs, also said that Gonzalez?s father is a ?refugee from Castro?s Cuba,? and lamented that the National Rifle?s Association 595,000 Twitter followers paled in comparison to the one million that follow ?this young Communist girl.?

Oath Keepers founder Stewart Rhodes, who hosted the webinar, suggested that law enforcement may have deliberately ignored multiple tips about the shooter, Nikolas Cruz, in order to allow a massacre that could pave the way for gun control.

?It was a conspiracy to intentionally leave our children exposed to mass murder,? Rhodes said.

Rhodes and other speakers also talked about the group?s effort to station armed Oath Keepers volunteers, who are military and police veterans, at schools across the U.S., ?whether they want us to or not,? as Rhodes put it at the start of the webinar.

Rhodes spoke to TPM about that idea Monday.

Another speaker on the webinar, Matt Bracken, said that sending armed guards to schools, ?if handled right, could be very good PR? for the group. Bracken is the author of several books promoting gun rights, including ?Enemies: Foreign and Domestic,? ?Domestic Enemies: The Reconquista? and ?Foreign Enemies and Traitors.?

So far, only Indiana member Marc Cowan appears to have taken up the call to arms, stationing himself since Friday on the perimeter of Fort Wayne?s North Side High School?s campus with an AR-15 and handgun.

The Fort Wayne school district said they don?t think the presence of armed volunteers like Cowan makes their students any safer.

The online session, which went on for almost two hours, was marred by technological glitches. Bracken?s video stream was the only one visible. Codrea chose to remain off camera because he?d been stricken by pneumonia, and as a result, he said, had been in a robe all day.

The conversation focused less on operational details for members, and more on denunciations of what Codrea called the ?Leni Riefenstahls? in the media, bent on manipulating the national conversation on guns.

?When are citizens going to enforce our constitution?? one participant asked in a chat on the sidebar.

?We should be all the time, that is up to all of us!? replied the Oath Keepers? moderator.
 
During the pro-Trump free speech rally in Berkeley last year (April 2017), the two opposing sides (pro-trump vs antifa) engaged in melee and random projectile exchange.  It was noted that the most disciplined group was the Oathkeepers, who worked hard to keep combatants at bay and dispense medical aid to the injured.  They also did not tolerate white nationalists displaying nazi flags.

Understand that the founding fathers of this nation were actually political extremists who valued their freedom and self determination over the cost of war against the British Empire.  Hardcore Constitutionalists look up to this ideal and their opponents will eventually take an anti-constitution stance where they think the founding father's ideals are outdated.  Those who understand this growing political-ideological divide where compromise is not likely are prepping for worse case scenarios.  I won't say "civil war" (that's Alex Jones fantasy), but the potential for mass disturbance in urban areas cannot be ignored.  I'd suggest stockpiling at least 2 weeks of food, water, medicine, sanitation (honey buckets & kitchen trash bags) and other necessities to start, and gradually increase your stockpile to 2 months.

If you want to talk to and understand where many of these folks are coming from, visit Mike Raahauge outdoor range in Corona when they have weekend events and meet the attendees.
 
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