President Trump

NEW -> Contingent Buyer Assistance Program
fortune11 said:
if you actually did that , and in decent size (in relation to your investable assets) , you are smarter than a vast majority of retail investors and wall street sell siders...
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Well, I put all of my investable assets into SDY because at that time it was yielding greater than 6%.  I figured that even if the market continued going down, I could reinvest the dividends into more shares until the market bottomed.  Knowing there was a hefty stream of income helped remove the fear of further price drops, plus dividend payers tend to be less volatile than the market as a whole.
 
Back Back Back....

But in an appearance on "Fox & Friends," Nunes was asked about reports over the weekend that the FBI application did refer to a political entity connected to the dossier. It is unclear precisely what language the application might have used.

Nunes conceded that a "footnote" to that effect was included in the application, while faulting the bureau for failing to provide more specifics.

"A footnote saying something may be political is a far cry from letting the American people know that the Democrats and the Hillary campaign paid for dirt that the FBI then used to get a warrant on an American citizen to spy on another campaign," Nunes said on "Fox & Friends."
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https://www.politico.com/story/2018/02/05/fbi-footnote-carter-page-warrant-390795
 
I'm not into making predictions about the midterm elections, but this article makes an interesting point:
Democrats will say this is irrelevant, that they have enthusiasm on their side. And there is no doubt that partisan Democrats are energized to vote. But the latest Washington Post/ABC News poll from mid-January, showing a generous 14-point Democratic advantage, offered this warning:

?The wide Democratic advantage in congressional vote preference comes entirely in districts the party already holds, raising questions about the extent of its possible gains in November.?

Translation ? Democrats are replicating 2016 conditions by running up the score in blue (mostly urban) areas while failing to make inroads in Republican-controlled districts. If you are but moderately proficient in math you can see how this could prevent Democrats from taking the House.

But it gets worse:

?In Democratic districts independents favor the Democrat; in Republican districts, independents split evenly, 45-46 percent. Partisans on both sides, by contrast, stick nearly unanimously with their party.?

Democrats must win the independent voters in districts held by Republicans, which they are not presently doing. The poll shows that ?at least some of the energy? exhibited by Democratic voters will ?end up boosting incumbents? instead of beating Republicans. Hillary voters, madder than hornets but basically confined to the largest counties in America, can do nothing to flip GOP-held House seats everywhere else.
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https://www.courier-journal.com/sto...e-midterm-elections-scott-jennings/306659002/
 
Liar Loan said:
I'm not into making predictions about the midterm elections, but this article makes an interesting point:
Democrats will say this is irrelevant, that they have enthusiasm on their side. And there is no doubt that partisan Democrats are energized to vote. But the latest Washington Post/ABC News poll from mid-January, showing a generous 14-point Democratic advantage, offered this warning:

?The wide Democratic advantage in congressional vote preference comes entirely in districts the party already holds, raising questions about the extent of its possible gains in November.?

Translation ? Democrats are replicating 2016 conditions by running up the score in blue (mostly urban) areas while failing to make inroads in Republican-controlled districts. If you are but moderately proficient in math you can see how this could prevent Democrats from taking the House.

But it gets worse:

?In Democratic districts independents favor the Democrat; in Republican districts, independents split evenly, 45-46 percent. Partisans on both sides, by contrast, stick nearly unanimously with their party.?

Democrats must win the independent voters in districts held by Republicans, which they are not presently doing. The poll shows that ?at least some of the energy? exhibited by Democratic voters will ?end up boosting incumbents? instead of beating Republicans. Hillary voters, madder than hornets but basically confined to the largest counties in America, can do nothing to flip GOP-held House seats everywhere else.
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https://www.courier-journal.com/sto...e-midterm-elections-scott-jennings/306659002/
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Yes...Democratic strongholds like Alabama and rural Wisconsin.  Midterm elections are all about passion and turnout.  Guessetimate is that GOP voters will stay home while Dems will mobilize and be energized.  Reverse of 2010.

For the most part, the theme is suburban districts, which makes sense given that the GOP messaging over the past few years has been aimed at more rural and small-town America rather than middle-class and upscale suburbs, places that used to be GOP strongholds but are now a weak spot for Republicans.

With President Trump?s historically low job approval ratings and congressional generic-ballot test numbers that are strongly pointing toward Democrats, plus private polling from both sides in individual states and districts, the signs point very clearly toward a Democratic wave. The questions is whether it will last until November and how big will it be. Historically in wave elections?particularly 1994, 2006, and 2010?the close races break overwhelmingly in one direction and the seat gains/losses tend to end up being larger than expected. The seat-by-seat analysis that works well in ?normal? years almost invariably understates what ends up happening.
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https://www.cookpolitical.com/analysis/house/house-overview/mapping-fight-house
 
fortune11 said:
Hilarious

Last month 91% of republicans had "great deal" or " some" confidence in country's law enforcement agencies

Today, 73% agree that FBI and DOJ are working together to delegitimize Trump
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...timize-trump-reuters-ipsos-poll-idUSKBN1FP2UH

If there were still any doubts that this is now a full blown cult ...
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Ryan and McConnell implicitly signing off on the Nunes "memo" are signs of that...pure tribalism by the GOP.  Party over country.  Turning off a lot of moderate GOPers. 
 
fortune11 said:
Hilarious

Last month 91% of republicans had "great deal" or " some" confidence in country's law enforcement agencies

Today, 73% agree that FBI and DOJ are working together to delegitimize Trump
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...timize-trump-reuters-ipsos-poll-idUSKBN1FP2UH

If there were still any doubts that this is now a full blown cult ...
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It's possible to have "some" confidence in the country's law enforcement agencies and agree that the FBI/DOJ were working together to delegitimize Trump.  These are not mutually exclusive points of view.
 
Liar Loan said:
fortune11 said:
Hilarious

Last month 91% of republicans had "great deal" or " some" confidence in country's law enforcement agencies

Today, 73% agree that FBI and DOJ are working together to delegitimize Trump
https://www.reuters.com/article/us-...timize-trump-reuters-ipsos-poll-idUSKBN1FP2UH

If there were still any doubts that this is now a full blown cult ...
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It's possible to have "some" confidence in the country's law enforcement agencies and agree that the FBI/DOJ were working together to delegitimize Trump.  These are not mutually exclusive points of view.
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The same FBI that greatly helped Trump in his bid just days before election day?
 
Irvinecommuter said:
Liar Loan said:
Did the footnote mention that it was "unverified and salacious"?  Those were Comey's words under oath.
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Hi strawman...meet moving goal post.
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Did you read the twitter thread that I linked to?  That spells out the goal post for obtaining a FISA warrant.
 
Liar Loan said:
Irvinecommuter said:
Liar Loan said:
Did the footnote mention that it was "unverified and salacious"?  Those were Comey's words under oath.
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Hi strawman...meet moving goal post.
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Did you read the twitter thread that I linked to?  That spells out the goal post for obtaining a FISA warrant.
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Yes...I was talking about your follow up post.  No one has actually articulated anything that was wrong with the FISA warrant that was obtained for Carter Page.

The big "revelation" of the Nunes memo was that the FBI did not reveal the the political nature of the Steele Dossier, which Nunes now concedes the application did in fact reveal.  This is also assuming that the Steele Dossier was the sole basis of the warrant and that somehow bias information cannot be used to obtain FISA warrants.

The warrant was also extended into the Trump administration and signed off by 3 other judges.  So apparently the entire FBI, Justice Department, FISA Court judge, and Rosenstein are all conspiring to take down Trump.

The window for the warrant, little more than three months, means that any extended investigation is likely to require a warrant extension.

The big difference between a first application and a renewal is that the intent of the surveillance, whether it be tapping a phone or getting access to an email account, can?t be hypothetical anymore.

On a first application, the Department of Justice lawyer needs to demonstrate that the agency is likely to find information tied to the suspected crime through the surveillance. On a renewal, the lawyer has to show that it got information corroborating the original warrant and that further access would lead to further evidence.

Before the original 90 days has expired, a renewal application is submitted to a judge, though often not the same judge who heard the original request, given the rotation on the surveillance court. If approved, the FBI would get another 90 days.

According to reports on the warrant tied to the Page surveillance, the warrant was extended after President Donald Trump took office. Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein, who was appointed by Trump, reportedly signed off on the renewal request, allowing lawyers to proceed with submitting a request to a judge.

A judge reportedly signed off, indicating that the initial surveillance had produced evidence, according to the legal requirements for extensions.
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http://www.newsweek.com/how-get-fisa-warrant-797323
 
Liar Loan said:
Irvinecommuter said:
The same FBI that greatly helped Trump in his bid just days before election day?
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You should read this article to get an idea of what happened and why leading up to Comey's announcement.

Internal Justice Department probe eyes McCabe?s role in final weeks of 2016 electionhttps://www.washingtonpost.com/worl...a059f168dd2_story.html?utm_term=.894152b80d25
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And what was the result of that review of the "new emails" that McCabe purportedly sat on...absolutely nothing.

Oh but it was Peter Strzok that was pro-Clinton.  Oh wait..no he actually drafted the first version of the letter.
https://www.cnn.com/2018/01/31/politics/strzok-fbi-comey-clinton-letter/index.html

But let's keep moving the target and miss the point completely. 

 
Liar Loan said:
Irvinecommuter said:
And what was the result of that review of the "new emails" that McCabe purportedly sat on...absolutely nothing.
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And yet it cost her the election?  Hmm...
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The Comey letter cost her the election...not the actual result of the investigation, which was a nothingburger.  I am starting to think you are intentionally missing the point.
https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/the-comey-letter-probably-cost-clinton-the-election/

But again...let's completely go off tangent and ignore the issues of Trump colluding with Russia and the GOP and Fox News efforts to distract using any means necessary, including declassifying information without the FBI and Justice Department given a chance to review or comment as well as their strong objection to the release of such information. 

"weaponize" /eyeroll.
 
Irvinecommuter said:
The Comey letter cost her the election...not the actual result of the investigation, which was a nothingburger.  I am starting to think you are intentionally missing the point.
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Nope, you're missing the point.  There's nothing in that article to indicate that Comey acted in a partisan manner favoring Trump (your original assertion a few posts back). 

There's lots to indicate the FBI acted in a partisan manner against Trump.

-McCabe stonewalling multiple Clinton investigations
-Strzuk & Page texts that talk about going easy on Clinton to curry favor in her administration
-Utilizing the unverified dossier as evidence to obtain a wiretap
 
Truth is I am a veteran myself. And to have just learned this I burst out laughing so hard it startled my wife. WTF is TRUMP thinking? WE CAN DO BETTER PARADE THAN THE NORTH KOREAN CAN, this has to be the best brain fart yet from the yuge, genius, short hands, fake hair, golfer who happen to be free world leader.

LOL could not stop laughing. This is a joke of the year, April 1 is still a couples of months away last time I check.

Genius, genius at work folks.
 
FBI lovers' latest text messages: Obama 'wants to know everything'

Newly revealed text messages between FBI paramours Peter Strzok and Lisa Page include an exchange about preparing talking points for then-FBI Director James Comey to give to President Obama, who wanted ?to know everything we?re doing."

The message, from Page to Strzok, was among thousands of texts between the lovers reviewed by Fox News. The pair both worked at one point for Special Counsel Robert Mueller's probe of alleged collusion between the Trump campaign and Russia.

Page wrote to Strzok on Sept. 2, 2016, about prepping Comey because "potus wants to know everything we're doing." According to a newly released Senate report, this text raises questions about Obama's personal involvement in the Clinton email investigation.

On Election Day 2016, Page wrote, "OMG THIS IS F***ING TERRIFYING." Strzok replied, "Omg, I am so depressed." Later that month, on Nov. 13, 2016, Page wrote, "I bought all the president's men. Figure I need to brush up on watergate." 

The next day, Nov. 14, 2016, Page wrote, ?God, being here makes me angry. Lots of high fallutin? national security talk. Meanwhile we have OUR task ahead of us.?

Page?s meaning here is unclear, but according to the Senate report, coupled with Strzok?s Aug. 15 text about an ?insurance policy,? further investigation is warranted to find out what actions the two may have taken.

http://www.foxnews.com/politics/2018/02/07/more-texts-between-strzok-and-page-uncovered-lead-to-more-questions.html
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https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xSLlZh9yelk
 
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