To be clear, because I think it gets lost in these "battles" of information, I fully support reopening. As I said before, I would have rather we found a hybrid model that kept people safe but also allowed the economy to run.
It could have been some type of targeted quarantine where only the at-risk people had to shelter in... but then there would have to be strict protocols on social distancing and mask requirements (which some find fascist
).
The problem with this is there is always a portion of the population that will disregard safety and that will hamper controlling the spread. Even now, with almost 110k dead, people still think this virus isn't serious... and that's what ends up killing more people than it should.
I was skeptical about this at first, thinking this was something that would stay in China and they would keep it from getting out. Even when it started spreading to Europe and the US, I challenged the initial models as too high (which they were) but when the actual number of cases and deaths started increasing at such a high rate and I saw places like Italy and NYC get out of control, I knew this was something where certain measures had to be taken.
Was a lockdown too heavy handed? Maybe, but just remember it was way more relaxed here than mostly every other country. I know people in places like India and their lockdowns were very strict. I'm sure most of you appreciate that you didn't have to get a government escort to chaperone you while you go to Albertson's (or actually, you couldn't even go to Albertson's). But then, that also shows that lockdowns worked because the countries with the strictest protocols, had the most success in reducing deaths.
The real trick is to figure out how to prevent a second wave, which unfortunately for the US, got thrown out of the window with all these social gatherings... ie protests.
But, if corona follows the same trajectory as the flu, hopefully the warmer weather has rendered it less contagious. But there is already evidence of other countries experiencing a rise in cases, like Iran:
https://www.bbc.com/news/world-middle-east-52903443
Even in the US, states are reporting higher cases:
https://www.newsweek.com/texas-ariz...avirus-spikes-after-reopening-economy-1508683
Health authorities in 14 states reported more new cases of the novel coronavirus last week compared to the week before, with Texas, Arizona and Oregon seeing the largest increases, Axios reported on Thursday. Though data confirmed by other states showed smaller degrees of change in cases identified over the last two weeks, several--including California and North Carolina--continued to report new diagnoses in high quantities.
Let's hope that is just a rise in testing or something other than a second wave because qwerty would hate a second lockdown.