morekaos said:
Inflation is about to explode?now that this (Nobel prize winning) fool says it won?t?. ;D ;D >
Paul Krugman: Inflation is about to come down
The inflation report for March came in hot, as expected: Consumer prices are up 8.5 percent over the past year. But more than two years into the pandemic, we?re still living on COVID time, where things can change very fast ? so fast that official data, even about the recent past, can give a misleading picture of what?s happening now.
In this case, the consumer price index ? which roughly speaking measures average prices over the month ? probably missed a downward turn that began in late March and is accelerating as you read this. Inflation will probably fall significantly over the next few months.
https://www.berkshireeagle.com/opin...cle_e873cfea-ba9f-11ec-b933-9baed88e0d60.html
Why does anyone even listen to these morons? Spot on Paul!...
Wait. Didn?t The ?Experts? Tell Us Inflation Had Peaked Months Ago?
Bank of America analysts said inflation has ?likely peaked.? So did Reuters. Forbes reported that consumer inflation likely peaked in March. Our alma mater, Investor?s Business Daily, was part of the ?inflation has peaked? chorus. The New York Times ran a story on April 13 headlined: ?Has U.S. Inflation Peaked??
Here are some of the other headlines from that month:
Why inflation may have already peaked
Inflation Will Fall Soon, Economists Say
3 Signs Inflation May Have Peaked and Prices Could Come Back Down
Top investment banks are calling peak inflation after a red-hot report. Here?s why they think consumer prices are set to cool
Inflation at its peak | UBS United States of America
CPI Inflation Rate Surges To 8.5%, But May Be ?The Peak?
4 Reasons Why the US Could Be Past Peak Inflation
And here are some of the quotes from the ?experts?:
Pantheon chief economist Ian Shepherdson: ?Core inflation has peaked, and this is the start of a run of bigger declines,? pointing out that softening vehicle prices could help usher in a ?significant moderation? in inflation in the coming months.
Nationwide senior economist Ben Ayers: ?Consumer inflation likely peaked in March as the Russian invasion caused a sharp spike in food and energy costs.?
Beth Ann Bovino, chief U.S. economist for S&P Global Ratings: ?This is likely near or at the top of the price gains.?
Moody?s Analytics chief economist, Mark Zandi: ?It feels like we?re topping out.?.
Ryan Detrick, chief market strategist for LPL Financial: thinks it?s likely that inflation has already reached a peak on its own, and that the Fed could start to pull back on interest rates by the second half of the year.
Analysts at UBS: expect inflation will likely peak in March and then fall ?sharply.?
Rick Rieder, chief investment officer of global fixed income at BlackRock: The economy could be past peak inflation rates as some supply chain constraints have eased and demand has declined, said. Both core consumer price index (CPI) and personal consumption expenditures (PCE), which excludes food and energy inflation, peaked in March and February and should ?move appreciably lower by the end of 2022,? Rieder wrote.
Of course, who can forget what our favorite ?economist,? Paul Krugman, wrote in April: ?inflation will probably fall significantly over the next few months.?
https://issuesinsights.com/2022/06/13/as-inflation-keeps-climbing-these-experts-owe-you-an-apology/