irvinehomeowner
Well-known member
Prediction: Carnival Floating Covid Quarantines
momopi said:If you subscribe to buying stock when there's blood on the streets, cruise operator, airline, REIT's, and oil companies are all bleeding.
While there is always a risk that the company might bleed to death, some companies are less risky than others because the government is likely to step in and perform CPR. The small fry (example, small oil companies) that Uncle Sam deem we can do without, will be left to live or die on their own.
I have slightly more faith in oil ETF's because, sooner or later most of us will return to the gas pump. Airlines is higher risk as businesses may opt for teleconference over business travel, and many people will either choose not to fly, or cannot afford to for their vacation. BUT I don't think the government will let Delta airlines die because air travel is still essential.
Cruise operators is purely leisure and not essential. Carnival managed to raise something like 6.25 billion dollars to keep themselves afloat with stocks, high yield bonds, and convertible bonds. They may return to operation in Aug but who is going to let them dock if there is an infection spread on board? On the other hand, the last shrimp boat afloat after the hurricane gets all the shrimp.
REIT's took such severe beating I would consider them as slot machines. Play responsibly.
Compressed-Village said:What do you think about oil tanker operators?
So it can also hedge as a storage facility. It playing out perfectly currently.
Some of these operate did great during this crisis.
momopi said:I made a smallish bet on MITT at $2/share this week. This REIT has been severely hammered and if you buy you are betting that it will not bleed to death. They have suspended dividend payment to conserve cash. You should not expect the share price to recover back to $16.
http://www.agmortgageinvestmenttrus...nvestment-trust-inc-provides-company-update-1
momopi said:momopi said:I made a smallish bet on MITT at $2/share this week. This REIT has been severely hammered and if you buy you are betting that it will not bleed to death. They have suspended dividend payment to conserve cash. You should not expect the share price to recover back to $16.
http://www.agmortgageinvestmenttrust.com/news-releases/news-release-details/ag-mortgage-investment-trust-inc-provides-company-update-1
Bought MITT @ $2.20/s last week, sold @ $2.76/s today.
Bought more IVR @ $3/s yesterday.
IVR is paying $0.50 dividend per quarter. So on a $3 stock it's paying $2 dividend/year. I'm using my IRA account for this one. Today (05/19) is the last day to buy for Q2 dividend distribution.
momopi said:Picked up some ZM, CRWD and WORK earlier today ahead of earnings call. Curious to see how ZM will perform tomorrow. Will it run out of steam from Monday, or continue to climb?
USCTrojanCPA said:Sold $35 weekly puts on WORK today going into earnings tomorrow and sold $27 monthly puts on RDFN that expire in about 2 weeks.
paperboyNC said:USCTrojanCPA said:Sold $35 weekly puts on WORK today going into earnings tomorrow and sold $27 monthly puts on RDFN that expire in about 2 weeks.
WORK crashed today. I'm trying to learn options. How does that affect your $35 put?
aquabliss said:These closed at .90c, your position still looks good. Just curious when you sell puts do you ever get called early before expiration or you just hold them until expiration and profit the purchase price minus the closing price at expiry?
Also as the seller can you buy these back at Market price anytime or you?re at the mercy of the expiration date?