Stock picks

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morekaos said:
paydawg said:
GH said:
morekaos said:
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

Wow -- didn't realize how much they have fallen -- Used to have them as my retail stock but swapped with Costco last year -- you think its a good bet to swap again ?

Target needs to get their online presence act together.  Their website is awful and that's where the growth opportunities are right now.  That's why Walmart is starting to look better.

Looks like they took your advice.

The next stock to watch is NVTA.  it's around $26.50 right now.  Will go to $100 in the next couple years.  I got in around $22, but I almost pulled the trigger around $15 a few months earlier. 
 
paydawg said:
eyephone said:
morekaos said:
paydawg said:
GH said:
morekaos said:
I like Target at $55.  11PE. 4.3% dividend. Whats not to like?

Wow -- didn't realize how much they have fallen -- Used to have them as my retail stock but swapped with Costco last year -- you think its a good bet to swap again ?

Target needs to get their online presence act together.  Their website is awful and that's where the growth opportunities are right now.  That's why Walmart is starting to look better.

Looks like they took your advice.

At the end of the day. I believe Amazon would outperform Target.

AMZN growth will be primarily due to their AWS, not their retail IMHO.

Warren Buffet invested in Amazon.
Retailers are closing and Amazon is growing
 
It looks like the yield curve briefly inverts with the 2 year treasuries which topped the 10 year rate.

#notLookingGood
 
irvinehomeowner said:
NFLX, AMZN, AAPL, DIS, GOOG, TGT, MSFT

Hold until retirement. :)

Let's see how I did with those "duh" stocks:

2/2/17 to now
NFLX 139.20 > 297.81
AMZN 839.95 > 1823.54
AAPL 128.53 > 212.75
DIS  110.61 > 135.76
GOOG  798.53 > 1191.25
TGT 63.68 > 103.20
MSFT 63.17 > 138.94

So simpleton stock picks seem to do well.

For reference:

DOW: 20,851.33 > 26,202.73
S&P: 2,371.54 > 2,924.43
NASDAQ: 5,867.89 > 8,020.2
 
eyephone said:
It looks like the yield curve briefly inverts with the 2 year treasuries which topped the 10 year rate.

#notLookingGood

you seem to be following what's going on around the world, so you should know that the european economy is in the tank and asia is seeing a lot of unrest.  which means the united states is still by far the safest place to put your money, thus with everyone taking their money to buy 10 year treasuries the price will go down.  calls for recession in the us are just the latest outrage that the media can play to get more clicks and eyeballs.
 
irvinehomeowner said:
irvinehomeowner said:
NFLX, AMZN, AAPL, DIS, GOOG, TGT, MSFT

Hold until retirement. :)

Let's see how I did with those "duh" stocks:

2/2/17 to now
NFLX 139.20 > 297.81
AMZN 839.95 > 1823.54
AAPL 128.53 > 212.75
DIS  110.61 > 135.76
GOOG  798.53 > 1191.25
TGT 63.68 > 103.20
MSFT 63.17 > 138.94

So simpleton stock picks seem to do well.

For reference:

DOW: 20,851.33 > 26,202.73
S&P: 2,371.54 > 2,924.43
NASDAQ: 5,867.89 > 8,020.2

Sounds good but how many shares do you own?
I hope more than 100 each.
 
The yield curve needs to stay inverted for an average of 7 months...not 7 minutes. Once that happens a recession may occur anywhere from 9-24 months later...this currently is another big fat nothing burger...bon appetite?!
 
eyephone said:
irvinehomeowner said:
irvinehomeowner said:
NFLX, AMZN, AAPL, DIS, GOOG, TGT, MSFT

Hold until retirement. :)

Let's see how I did with those "duh" stocks:

2/2/17 to now
NFLX 139.20 > 297.81
AMZN 839.95 > 1823.54
AAPL 128.53 > 212.75
DIS  110.61 > 135.76
GOOG  798.53 > 1191.25
TGT 63.68 > 103.20
MSFT 63.17 > 138.94

So simpleton stock picks seem to do well.

For reference:

DOW: 20,851.33 > 26,202.73
S&P: 2,371.54 > 2,924.43
NASDAQ: 5,867.89 > 8,020.2

Sounds good but how many shares do you own?
I hope more than 100 each.

To clarify. Did you buy or are those on your stocks to watch?
 
I did some historical lookups on the ones that were posted on Page 1 of this thread... many didn't move that much... but I think those were supposed to be short term picks.

My picks are like Irvine houses... hold them for a long time and they will yield good returns.

The worst performer was DIS... which is surprising but I expect it to go up in the next few years.
 
Got it.

Bingo. So it all comes out in this thread. You could of said this long time ago. That you view your house as an investment.
 
eyephone said:
Got it.

Bingo. So it all comes out in this thread. You could of said this long time ago. That you view your house as an investment.

Not sure where you are going with this.

I view my home as a place to live, first and foremost. Over the long haul it can give you good returns but when I am buying I am not looking at a short term turnaround.

That?s why I say that you can buy even if you will only save a nominal amount instead of waiting. It?s just like long hold stocks, you just need to get in and stop worrying about timing the bottom. And better than stocks, you get a tax write off, you don?t have to worry about the woes of renting and you get all the benefits of owning a home.
 
irvinehomeowner said:
eyephone said:
Got it.

Bingo. So it all comes out in this thread. You could of said this long time ago. That you view your house as an investment.

Not sure where you are going with this.

I view my home as a place to live, first and foremost. Over the long haul it can give you good returns but when I am buying I am not looking at a short term turnaround.

That?s why I say that you can buy even if you will only save a nominal amount instead of waiting. It?s just like long hold stocks, you just need to get in and stop worrying about timing the bottom. And better than stocks, you get a tax write off, you don?t have to worry about the woes of renting and you get all the benefits of owning a home.

Previously you said hold stocks for the long term. Then you said housing is better than stocks. A lot of people worry about buying the peak like the previous article I posted. (Almost everybody likes a bargain. Why do you think TjMax and Roos are doing so well?) When people remodel their home most people don?t over spend for the location of the house. People are savvy and care about the bottom line.

You mean small tax write off owning a home. (Cap on salt deductions)
 
eyephone said:
Previously you said hold stocks for the long term. Then you said housing is better than stocks.
Where did I say housing is better than stocks? You might be mixing me up with someone else.

A lot of people worry about buying the peak like the previous article I posted. (Almost everybody likes a bargain. Why do you think TjMax and Roos are doing so well?) When people remodel their home most people don?t over spend for the location of the house. People are savvy and care about the bottom line.

Sure. But buying a home is not like shopping at TJMaxx or Ross. You can buy at the peak and still be okay as long as you can afford your home and stay long term. Many people just want to stop renting and own a home (there are several TI members who have said that... so no articles, real people).

You mean small tax write off owning a home. (Cap on salt deductions)

If you consider $10k small, if you own a home less than $1m, that's a good sized write-off. You also forget about the $250k/$500k capital gains exclusion, can't do that with other "investments".
 
irvinehomeowner said:
eyephone said:
Previously you said hold stocks for the long term. Then you said housing is better than stocks.
Where did I say housing is better than stocks? You might be mixing me up with someone else.

A lot of people worry about buying the peak like the previous article I posted. (Almost everybody likes a bargain. Why do you think TjMax and Roos are doing so well?) When people remodel their home most people don?t over spend for the location of the house. People are savvy and care about the bottom line.

Sure. But buying a home is not like shopping at TJMaxx or Ross. You can buy at the peak and still be okay as long as you can afford your home and stay long term. Many people just want to stop renting and own a home (there are several TI members who have said that... so no articles, real people).

You mean small tax write off owning a home. (Cap on salt deductions)

If you consider $10k small, if you own a home less than $1m, that's a good sized write-off. You also forget about the $250k/$500k capital gains exclusion, can't do that with other "investments".

-read your previous posts, it sounds like you view your house as an investment, which explains your rational in other thread and your determination to put your own spin on things
-again the average person is business savvy and they do not want to buy at the peak or over pay for something.
-$10k is small
-btw there was a rumor removal of capital gain exclusion was on the table during the backdoor tax reform conversation. So you never know they might take that away in the future.

 
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