villagepeople said:
LAtoOC said:
200% gain since 2009 is not that hard if Indie was fortunate enough to buy in March-May 2009.
My Total Return since then is about 150% just on straight buy/hold.
the whole point is timing.. with the stock market.. there's no sure thing, that's why it's called risk... all i'm saying is indie can't tell me that i'm doing my calcs wrong cause i didn't use i higher rate of return... when i told him that i just put money in a bank account... he says that "it's easy to make these returns by buying dividend stocks"... then the market takes a dump and i just wanted to show that he was wrong trying to tell me i can put money in the market and expect my principle back when i need it... then he goes off on a tangent about how he made 200%... [which i'm saying is bs]... if you want to take his advice then go ahead.. i'm not here to get investment advice...
It's not a tangent. You tried to randomly call me out for by saying the specific stocks I posted about would make you a loser over a "5 month span", or what most investors would call an "ultra short term" hold. That's a big way to lose money in ANY investment (stocks, housing, etc). Basically you painted it like it was a smoking gun about how your original premise about parking your cash in a savings account was a better move than conservative blue chip, performing, stocks. But see, not every investor is a moron like you, and would never try to build wealth based on ultra short term holds. That's called gambling.
Over the past 20 years of tracking the S&P, if an investor held for at least ONE year, on AVERAGE, they would have gained 8.4%. If you hold longer, your losses and spikes start to smooth out. People who held in the S&P 500 over the past 20 years, on average, ONLY gained.
Let's examine my stocks I mentioned (randomly I might add) from my conservative portfolio. These were picks from my adviser, a professional who knows what he's doing, not some schmuck fund manager who is trying to build his Malibu dream house on fees. I'll even go back exactly 2 years from the original date I posted about them (even though they were purchased at better buy times):
ALRP-
February 11, 2009: 31.80
Today's Price:
71.34
Big winner. 124% Gain.
Altria-
February 11, 2009: 19.63
Today's Price:
25.70
31% Gain.
BMY-
February 11, 2009: 23.91
Today's Price:
27.85
16% Gain.
VZ-
February 11, 2009: 28.93
Today's Price:
35.07
21% Gain.
That's an average GAIN of
48% on just four RANDOM conservative picks, and in the wake of some pretty major downward movement recently. You want to compare Portola Springs gains over that same two year period? Get the heck out of here. You're a certified idiot. At least NonFCB was inherently a "genius", but you could have simply done a bit of research to try and hide the fact you don't know what the heck you're talking about.