How low can we go? 30 yr fixed at 3.75% with no fees...

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irvinehomeowner said:
My plan is to string a few 5/1 or 7/1 ARMs together and then when the principal is low enough, end with a 15-year fixed.

#InTheory

Get a 15year when the rate is at 5%? Smart move
 
but if you can afford the higher payment, isn't it better than 5/1 ARM + 10 year payoff plan? total interest will be less and you lock in the interest rate for 15 years.


USCTrojanCPA said:
The California Court Company said:
question, it seems like 15 year fixed interest rate is close to 5/1 arm; why do you still want 5/1 arm but not 15 year fixed?
Much higher monthly payment.
 
15 yr is about 1% higher than 5/1, not a good comparison.  Cash will be tied up as well.  If serious about paying off principal, get the lowest rate (5/1 or IO) and use the interest savings to pay at your discretion.
 
eyephone said:
irvinehomeowner said:
My plan is to string a few 5/1 or 7/1 ARMs together and then when the principal is low enough, end with a 15-year fixed.

#InTheory

Get a 15year when the rate is at 5%? Smart move
It depends what the rate is at that time. If the 15-year is lower than whatever the ARM is adjusting at, you refi, if not, stay with the ARM until it does adjust... or if any time during the first stretch of 10-15 years, the 30-year fixed drops low enough, refi into that.

The point is to play less interest than the prevailing 30-year rate to give you more flexibility with available cash to either pay down the principal more, invest, etc.

This also makes more sense if you're younger because the chances are you won't stay in your home 5, 10, 15 years... esp if there is a cemetery being built nearby.
 
for my case though, according to Zillow 15 year fixed is quoted 2.875, 5/1 ARM is 2.75; so it is a wash.

my wife staunchly opposes anything ARM; so only fixed rate loans for us

ps9 said:
15 yr is about 1% higher than 5/1, not a good comparison.  Cash will be tied up as well.  If serious about paying off principal, get the lowest rate (5/1 or IO) and use the interest savings to pay at your discretion.
 
The California Court Company said:
for my case though, according to Zillow 15 year fixed is quoted 2.875, 5/1 ARM is 2.75; so it is a wash.

my wife staunchly opposes anything ARM; so only fixed rate loans for us

ps9 said:
15 yr is about 1% higher than 5/1, not a good comparison.  Cash will be tied up as well.  If serious about paying off principal, get the lowest rate (5/1 or IO) and use the interest savings to pay at your discretion.


Why does she oppose ARMs?  Break it down for her, if your financially mature, why not? 
 
I'll take a stab at answering PS9's question:

...Because there is a higher, long term value of peace of mind than the short term benefit of a few dollars saved on a monthly payment.

I've lead many people to consider ARM loans, but always tell them if they are going to walk the halls at night worrying what might happen - an ARM loan is absolutely the worst deal you could take.

Everyones risk tolerance thermometer tops out at some point. Those with lower thresholds make the right choice in staying with a 30 fixed. 
 
she just wants that peace of mind as SGIP said. I tried but could not convince her. even though my income alone can qualify the loan and I usually apply solo, if she refuses to sign the final paper for trust deed and others at closing, there is not much I can do.

Plus I ran the scenarios for her. It is very likely we will keep the house long term. we have enough funds to buy a 2nd home with similar or lower price shall we move. So our current primary residence will become a rental/investment.

If we move to a place where housing cost is much higher than Irvine, I would rather rent there because for such place there is surely not going to be rental parity.

ps9 said:
The California Court Company said:
for my case though, according to Zillow 15 year fixed is quoted 2.875, 5/1 ARM is 2.75; so it is a wash.

my wife staunchly opposes anything ARM; so only fixed rate loans for us

ps9 said:
15 yr is about 1% higher than 5/1, not a good comparison.  Cash will be tied up as well.  If serious about paying off principal, get the lowest rate (5/1 or IO) and use the interest savings to pay at your discretion.


Why does she oppose ARMs?  Break it down for her, if your financially mature, why not?
 
That's a really expensive 'sleeping pill' so you can rest easy at night, at least buy some of your banks stock.  So you're kinda paying yourself in a way :)

I would be tossing and turning at night if I ever go back to a 30 yr.  Refi from a 30 to a 30 is even worse. 
 
ps9 said:
I would be tossing and turning at night if I ever go back to a 30 yr.  Refi from a 30 to a 30 is even worse. 

Why worse?  We are refi'ing 2 years into a new 30 year and will continue paying the same amount we were paying and instead of paying it off in 28 years from now, we will pay it off in 26 years...2 years saved for a few hours of work.  Why is that a bad thing?
 
rkp said:
ps9 said:
I would be tossing and turning at night if I ever go back to a 30 yr.  Refi from a 30 to a 30 is even worse. 

Why worse?  We are refi'ing 2 years into a new 30 year and will continue paying the same amount we were paying and instead of paying it off in 28 years from now, we will pay it off in 26 years...2 years saved for a few hours of work.  Why is that a bad thing?

Because you restart the clock on a 30 yr, most painful in the first 5 years as 2/3 of your monthly goes to interest.  What is your interest rate before and after the refi?  And if you refi 2 years into your 30 year, why didn't you consider a 5/1????
 
I encourage my customers to refi their new 30 fixed as a 29 or 23 year  (AKA "same payoff") term loans. Refinancing a 28 year loan into a new 30 may be the right decision for some, but it will always cost more in the long run unless you decide to prepay agressively. Example of a "same payoff" refi:

$100k loan at 4.0% has a payment of $477.42. In 1 year the balance will be $98,238
$98,238 at 3.875% for 29 years has a payment of $470.42 $7.00 doesn't see like much, however if you have a $500k loan, that's now $35...ish. If the rate is .25% less, not .125% in the example, or an older loan it still makes sense to look into a refi.

There are advisors who say "Don't refinance unless the new rate is .50% less". If you have no expense associated with the refi and the same payoff date, any refi can be a smart move.
 
But they are paying the same amount of money (so I'm assuming it's more than the minimum payment for the new loan) and the extra will all go to principle.
 
job report better than expected, MBS and US10Y prices tanking. it looks like the rates will at least be up in the short term

US10Y from 1.8 to 1.96 in a day. Wow. if you have not locked, you may be out of luck
 
I am rooting for our fellow Greeks to liberate themselves by breaking free from the Euro. That will make vacation in Europe cheaper and may help lower US mortgage rates.

Go Greeks! be the champion of democracy again!
 
The California Court Company said:
I am rooting for our fellow Greeks to liberate themselves by breaking free from the Euro. That will make vacation in Europe cheaper and may help lower US mortgage rates.

Go Greeks! be the champion of democracy again!

Watch out for the picket pocket peeps in Europe. Some of my friends and coworkers were victims.
 
tanks on the streets?
http://www.independent.co.uk/news/b...alexis-tsipras-or-angela-merkel-10035132.html


An unfolding tragedy? Greece?s diary

Wednesday 11 February

Emergency meeting of eurozone finance ministers, (known as the eurogroup). Greece also loses access to cheapest funding from the European Central Bank.

Thursday 12 February

European leaders meet in Brussels. Alexis Tsipras?s first meeting with all fellow European prime ministers.

Monday 16 February

Deadline to reapply for bailout according to eurogroup head, Jeroen Dijsselbloem.

Wednesday 18 February

European Central Bank governing council meeting to renew emergency funding.

Saturday 28 February

Greece due to receive final ?7.2bn instalment from Troika. Without a deal by this date, Greece could lose access to ECB funding.
 
Looks like I'm refi'ing too much, my broker just said we have to wait a few days to stay off Chase's blacklist, even though we're greenlight to close today. 
 
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