How low can we go? 30 yr fixed at 3.75% with no fees...

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zubs said:
So I have this question about the 10 year bond and today's rate.

10 yr treasury as of 09/24/2012 ~ 1.722
30 yr mortgage rate as of 09/24/2012 ~ 3.500

I thought the 30 yr mortgage is derived from the 10 yr bond.  If so, then how come the 30 yr mortgage is cheaper now then it was 2 months ago when the 10 yr bond was around 1.5 and the the 30 yr was higher at 3.875?
No, 30-year mortgage rates are derived from MBS bonds not the 10-year bond rates.  That being said, they tend to trade in tandum but they do diverge every now again (like they did when the Fed said they'd be buying MBS bonds).  There's a thread on fatwallet that talks about mortgages and there's someone in there that posted how MBS bonds are doing on a daily basis.
 
10 Y-T is an indicative gauge, but not one that sets the price of a mortgage rate. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) are what the Fed is buying and those MBS's set the price of a mortgage rate.

Unfortunately without a Bloomberg terminal or pay access through services Mortgage Market Guide it's near impossible to get real time MBS data. Mortgage News Daily has about an hours lag on MBS pricing, but that resource does show accurately the change in pricing for MBS's. These MBS's are rallying while many investors roll out of Treasury debt. Although MBS's aren't "Government Guaranteed" they are in essence when the Fed is buying them all up.

USC you are a faster typist than I which is cause for the similar post data.

 
I'm glad the pros have spoken :)

I use the charts on Mortgage News Daily to see MBS pricing (I think it is what SGIP is referring to).  Note that you need to track the most applicable MBS.  The link below tracks the 30 Year Fannie Mae 3.0% MBS:
http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mbs/charts.aspx?Product=FNMA30&interval=5

And I believe this is the Fatwallet thread USC is referring to:http://www.fatwallet.com/forums/finance/788032/
 
Soylent Green Is People said:
10 Y-T is an indicative gauge, but not one that sets the price of a mortgage rate. Mortgage Backed Securities (MBS) are what the Fed is buying and those MBS's set the price of a mortgage rate.

Unfortunately without a Bloomberg terminal or pay access through services Mortgage Market Guide it's near impossible to get real time MBS data. Mortgage News Daily has about an hours lag on MBS pricing, but that resource does show accurately the change in pricing for MBS's. These MBS's are rallying while many investors roll out of Treasury debt. Although MBS's aren't "Government Guaranteed" they are in essence when the Fed is buying them all up.

USC you are a faster typist than I which is cause for the similar post data.
I have youth behind me.  haha  But I like how you fill the gaps on my threads to give a nice in depth touch to what I might have said.  Your posts expand on my posts very nicely.
 
zovall said:
I'm glad the pros have spoken :)

I use the charts on Mortgage News Daily to see MBS pricing (I think it is what SGIP is referring to).  Note that you need to track the most applicable MBS.  The link below tracks the 30 Year Fannie Mae 3.0% MBS:
http://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/mbs/charts.aspx?Product=FNMA30&interval=5

And I believe this is the Fatwallet thread USC is referring to:http://www.fatwallet.com/forums/finance/788032/
When you see the person posting +8 or -5 (in 32 increments...+8/32 or -5/32) they are taking about the movement in price of the most relevant MBS bond (the 30-year Fannie 3.0% coupon at the moment).  Also, just because the pricing of the MBS bond increases (and the yield falls) doesn't mean that lenders (some or all) will re-price their interest rate sheet.
 
Thanks for the answers.  I usually look at the 10 yr bond to see where mortgages are heading, but I guess that won't work now.
 
My buddy just refied his home with a 3.375% rate and had about $1800 worth of credit leftover.. the mortgage guy told him he can use that toward his property taxes.. is this true?  can he just get it in cash form?
 
a lot of people i know just got a check back for whatever was left over. 

The lowest I've seen the 30 year (for a $625K agency jumbo) is 3.5% with zero points.  Today, its still at 3.625% (from what I've been told).  Has anyone seen lower?  I locked at 3.625% w/ no points. 
 
The mortgage broker I used when I purchased the house quoted 3.375% 30 year fixed with $500 for the appraisal as the only cost.  No impound, I can purchase own homeowner's insurance, no early payment penalty. That was about 2 weeks ago so things might have changed.  I've been unscientifically taking screenshots of 30 year fixed rates from Provident Funding and Amerisave (not every day) for about the last week or so but the credits have shrunk about $3500.  So, definitely going the wrong way right now, but still great.

I know many of you are in the process of closing on homes so you all must have gotten decent rates.

If you're refinancing, why are you?  To squeeze out as much as you can (Greed is good)?  Nothing wrong with that.

For me, I started out with the great ARM (5/7 year) strategy that USCTrojan described on these boards but with the 30 year rates down so much, lately I've been thinking I would like to remove the unknown after the fixed period.  I hate to say it so I don't jinx myself...but it probably won't go much lower than now.  :P  Rates may stay very low for a long time but who knows what will happen? 

When I bought my first condo, the 30 year was about 12%.  Even then, the rates dropped around when I purchased so I felt "lucky".  Then, many years later, when one bank gave me a refinance quote much lower than others at 6.5%, I felt I was robbing the bank or they mistook me for a high roller or a scam.  But it was Wells Fargo so that made me feel a little comfortable.  Mid to low 3s?  Who would have thought it would be possible?
 
irvinehusky said:
The mortgage broker I used when I purchased the house quoted 3.375% 30 year fixed with $500 for the appraisal as the only cost.  No impound, I can purchase own homeowner's insurance, no early payment penalty. That was about 2 weeks ago so things might have changed.  I've been unscientifically taking screenshots of 30 year fixed rates from Provident Funding and Amerisave (not every day) for about the last week or so but the credits have shrunk about $3500.  So, definitely going the wrong way right now, but still great.

I know many of you are in the process of closing on homes so you all must have gotten decent rates.

If you're refinancing, why are you?  To squeeze out as much as you can (Greed is good)?  Nothing wrong with that.

For me, I started out with the great ARM (5/7 year) strategy that USCTrojan described on these boards but with the 30 year rates down so much, lately I've been thinking I would like to remove the unknown after the fixed period.  I hate to say it so I don't jinx myself...but it probably won't go much lower than now.  :P  Rates may stay very low for a long time but who knows what will happen? 

When I bought my first condo, the 30 year was about 12%.  Even then, the rates dropped around when I purchased so I felt "lucky".  Then, many years later, when one bank gave me a refinance quote much lower than others at 6.5%, I felt I was robbing the bank or they mistook me for a high roller or a scam.  But it was Wells Fargo so that made me feel a little comfortable.  Mid to low 3s?  Who would have thought it would be possible?
I know that I didn't if you would have asked me years ago, but in the past year or so I've started to realize the FED wants to jump start housing so I figured 30-year rates might have an outside shot of getting to 3%.  Will they get there or go a little lower?  Who knows, anything is possible.
 
I've done 2 refi's in the past 4 months.  First one through Provident, I netted around 3k and second one, through BoxHomeLoans, I netted $800.  Now I'm $3800 richer with a 3.5% interest rate on my agency jumbo loan. :)
 
I think I need to find another broker.

A refi I'm getting quoted for has costs and only a 3.50% rate (conforming). I checked Amerisave and theirs is 3.375% and you get $4400 back... boo.
 
irvinehomeowner said:
I think I need to find another broker.

A refi I'm getting quoted for has costs and only a 3.50% rate (conforming). I checked Amerisave and theirs is 3.375% and you get $4400 back... boo.

Definitely.  If your finances are solid, then go the online lender route.  It's strange how I have to convince friends and family to ditch their broker that they've been using for years to go with an online lender.  A lot of times, they don't trust the online lender or they think there is a catch, etc.  I've done it twice now and I can say that I'll never go to a broker again (unless they match/beat the online prices).  The difference is usually in the thousands of dollars and in some cases, the process is actually much smoother.
 
Good grief,

My present loan is with Provident but as you probably know, they're a really pain in the you know what to get to closing.  You must like
pain?  :P  But $3800 is nice.

I'm not sure if it's the same with all the deals but I was told that once you lock, unless it goes down quite a bit, you're stuck.  Well, locking works both ways.  Maybe if it goes down to the high 2s we'll all be refi'ing again.

woodburyowner said:
I've done 2 refi's in the past 4 months.  First one through Provident, I netted around 3k and second one, through BoxHomeLoans, I netted $800.  Now I'm $3800 richer with a 3.5% interest rate on my agency jumbo loan. :)
 
Brokers are definitely not easy.  I think they ask for more because they don't want the loan to come back to them.  I've had to provide some interesting documentation... I won't be suprised if "take a picture of your left nut and send it w a medallion guarantee" is a future requirement... 
 
irvinehusky said:
Good grief,

My present loan is with Provident but as you probably know, they're a really pain in the you know what to get to closing.  You must like
pain?  :P  But $3800 is nice.

I'm not sure if it's the same with all the deals but I was told that once you lock, unless it goes down quite a bit, you're stuck.  Well, locking works both ways.  Maybe if it goes down to the high 2s we'll all be refi'ing again.

To be honest, my experience with Provident was pretty easy.  BHL was a bit more work to deal with since they pass your file along to multiple "processors" during the refi process.  Each have a specific job to do, but some will miss something and then it will get caught later when it is crunch time.  I hate being asked for information I already provided and it happened a few times with BHL.  With Provident, you deal with just 2 people and it was much more smooth. 

My financials are very clean so there wasn't anything out of the ordinary requested.  Maybe I got lucky....
 
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