Back on the bailouts,
The Dow closed today within 10 pts of where it closed Friday, before the bailouts. For the number junkies, the Dow swung a cumulative 862 pts (7.7%) in the last two days based on the highs and closing. Why the pop in the market Monday?
The fed?s action does a couple of things. It provides liquidity to the mortgage market. The crisis facing FNM/FRE was investors were not buying their securities because of default worries. FNM/FRE did not have the reserves to cover the default loses prior to the bailout. That was forcing FNM/FRE to pay higher interest rates which were passed onto us as higher mortgage rates. The fed?s move alleviated that concern somewhat by backing FNM/FRE with government cash (our tax money) and that?s why interest rates have fallen in the past two days. So, that?s good for us today when we go for a mortgage.
Fannie and Feddie are basically penny stocks now, worthless maybe. I don?t know how to value them right now.
Now to the point, the real problem was/is in the loans <em>already made</em>. The fed?s action props up FNM/FRE as the loans made over the past few years continue to default and accumulate. The losses are still there, in the billions, and now you and I and everyone has to pay for it. Sure interest rates are lower now, but housing prices are still inflated and there are lots of defaults coming. How the hell is that good for the market?
I am not in finance per say, so help me understand what the market thought was so good Monday. I see the net effect of the bailouts as a negative in that it has no real effect on current conditions except pseudo-capping mortgage rates, and a real negative effect in passing private mortgage losses onto the public.