someguy said:
SoclosetoIrvine said:
Is it just FCB hurting the market?
I'm counting on BTB disagreeing with me here.
FCBs are distorting Irvine housing prices upward. They don't seem to be as price sensitive as locals. Many locals rely on earning income within commute distance and borrowing at gradually increasing interest rates. As house prices rise faster than wages and borrowing becomes more expensive, it's continuing to push home ownership out of reach for people on the margin. And it's kind of a bummer to see hard working locals priced out of their own market.
FCBs on the other hand seem more than willing to buy an entire alley of houses with cash for whole extended family. This actually happens enough for it to be discussed as the "new economy" at a recent Orange County BIA meeting. Earning money within commute distance and the cost of borrowing doesn't seem to be a factor for FCBs.
I know there's homeowners out there who cheer-lead these rising prices as if it's the most important thing in their life. I don't really buy into that, but then again, Irvine isn't exactly the place to look for anything but 'masterfully planned' "elevated lifestyle" "resort style living" culture now is it?
Sorry gotta go buy more luxury goods at 11am on a Tuesday so everyone knows how comfortable my life is. /s
I agree with everything you said up there, in fact I can fully attest to the FCB situation that is rather ubiquitous now in new construction Irvine homes because they are all my neighbors.
Essentially there are different kinds of FCB buyers and I've met them all during the builder luncheon and also just talking with them.
Here they are:
1) The first FCB buyer is a family. They bought a home here but for the most part the home will sit empty 80-90% of the year. They are mostly adults and no kids. This is just a vacation home to them. No way they will qualify for a loan. The home was outright paid in cash for sure. Lights are never on at the home any more. There are several of these, just drive around and you'll see what I mean.
2) The second FCB buyer is also a family but they have a son. The parents first moved in with the son (or so I thought) but later I found out the parents returned to China, leaving the son here. The son is an average mid-20s guy working an average job in a sub-$1m home. Most likely paid for by mom and dad.
3) The third FCB buyer is yet again a family. But this time, I had a nice chat with the mother and her three young daughters. She was very reluctant to open her door because it turns out that she lives by herself with the 3 girls. The husband is always away in Shanghai and works there. The reason I knocked on her door was because I found out she had landscaping work done and I wanted to take a look.
4) The 4th FCB buyer, probably isn't really a FCB buyer but we'll call it a FCB buyer anyways because she's Asian and quite rich. This house also sat empty until I saw a Mercedes pull up. I asked her, do you live here? She told me she lives in another part of Irvine and this is just a rental home and that she's going to rent it out. Sure enough, a week later the tenants moved in.
This is not fiction. This is my personal experience that I've encountered.
Personally, I don't mind living next to these folks. Why? Because they are quiet, keep to themselves, their financial balance sheet is probably quite strong since the homes are outright paid for in cash, and they're not likely to foreclose bringing down my property values. But yes, if you're one of those people that love to invite your neighbors Bob and Martha over for dinner frequently and have small talk, this isn't the place, in fact it probably isn't the place for any of the new construction homes in Irvine.
The new Irvine construction community homes have become quite sterile. The focus now has been about money, appreciation, and giving children (if any) a chance at good schools, learning english, and getting citizenship so DHS/ICE doesn't kick them out. Everything else doesn't matter.
my .02cent