"A half million dollars for an average home...
<p>After a few years, it all seems so normal now - a $300,000 home is what poor people live in, to get something nice you have to spend at least twice that amount, and million dollar homes? Not really a big deal anymore."</p>
None of the above is supported by rising incomes or rents. The fact that it is widely accepted by the populace only shows the extent of the mass delusion gripping the marketplace. Nobody thought the Nasdaq would drop in March of 2000, but it sold off 80% over the following 4 years. One only needs to look at what has been happening in San Diego County to see what is coming here.
bigmoneysalsa,
I have several friends and acquaintances to whom I cannot talk about real estate; not because I am overly opinionated, but because they are so attached to their point of view that any information to the contrary elicits a very negative response. These people don't want to debate the direction of housing prices, they want to exist in their own little fantasy about permanent appreciation and keep their belief that house prices can never decline. You won't get rational arguments from people with this mindset, only talking points from the NAR. Nobody wants to entertain the idea that they may have made a poor purchase, so I don't try to engage them. Of course, they can make the same claim against me, and then we just agree to disagree. From what I have read in your posts, you and I see things pretty close to the same.