<p>I think the PS price has no place to go but down. I also happen to think that PS price drop will be a quite bit higher than areas like Quail Hill, the existing tracks of Woodbury, and Northwood. Several reasons:</p>
<p>a. Buildout tracks prices are more sticky, and very few are in the position of "have to sell". They usually won't sell unless they at least breakeven.</p>
<p>b. PS is building out a lot slower than Irvine Company has anticipated, and with the uncertainy I think some buyers are not willing to jump in.</p>
<p>c. Builders who are there must sell homes, unless they decide to shut down for now, or leave the track.</p>
<p>d. unlike the upcoming OH, I don't think PS is in such a nice surrounding. eash side of the development (where the richmond track is) is very very close to 261. From many lots you can see the 261 as your background. Not a view I want to have for $1 million. </p>
<p>e. Lastly, there will be more competition: the immediates ones will be woodbury east (opening next month), woodbury ( Calpacfic's SFH will be released this fall - 1800 to 2400 sq ft, Stanpac will soon build the model homes for their new track - 3000 to 3500 sq ft). In 12 months, you will see OH (maybe?), and Laugna Cayon track at 133 and 405. The sad thing is I think PS has the worst location. </p>
<p>This is a "death sprial": less people want to buyer there bc of uncertiany, less interests are on the house, the more reduction/incentive the builders have to offer, the less less the price, then causes more uncertainy on the prices to the buyer, then even less interest, then off course more price reduction...this is goes on until the buyers regain confidence...</p>
<p>You got the picture...</p>
<p> </p>