newPParker
Member
undecided said:eyephone said:Undecided - you should educate yourself regarding the new proposed tax plan.
Like I said, it's my personal opinion. You may be right about a price drop. But hear me out before you write me off.
As far as the tax plan, I've actually read through quite a bit of it. Both the House and Senate versions. No state income tax deduction is bad for CA residents. Property tax deduction is either eliminated or capped at $10k. Mortgage interest could be limited to loan balances of $500k, so the excess may not be deductible. The $500k personal residence gain exemption may require a longer holding period (5 out of 8 years instead of 2 out of 5). We're losing personal exemptions. Medical expense deductions and student loan deductions are going away. I know my personal taxes are going up.
But this thread is about homes under $600k. How many homes in Irvine are selling for under $600k? For that matter, how many homes under $1MM? The demand far outpaces the supply for this price target. Yes the tax plan sucks for the middle class, and many will get hammered. But the draw of homeownership is more than a tax write-off. It's a watershed moment for some people, a big piece of the American Dream. And to be able to afford to buy in Irvine? It's not an easy accomplishment. There are more reasons to buy a home than simply for the tax write-off.
Even without the tax breaks, I'd still buy my current home, just for the fact that I am looking for stability. I want to stabilize my housing costs. I don't want to see my rent payment go up 5% every year for the next 30 years. I agree that house prices above a certain price point may suffer, but I just don't see it in the sub $1MM market here, and definitely not the sub $600k market. Especially because a good portion of buyers here are FCBs with cash for whom tax deductions do not come into play when deciding on buying a home.
If I'm wrong and prices do drop for homes in this price range, investors should take a good look, because prices will bounce back. But I'm skeptical. Maybe homes over 1.2MM or 1.5MM will be somewhat impacted, but I think there will be a healthy appetite for starter homes in Irvine for the foreseeable future.
Senate version amended the 10k property tax.