[quote author="ipoplaya" date=1228527319][quote author="tenmagnet" date=1228525971]
That?s a $25K difference.
Maybe 33 Dinuba is in a better location, more upgrades etc.
Shouldn't that be taken into account?
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You're reaching bro. Those houses are one removed from backing up to each other. Both interior locations, same lot sizes, etc. You think crown moulding and maybe some hardwood works out to $50K? Differences in finishes on 2200sf tract homes aren't going to camoflauge a big decline.
Like I said before, for every house you could find selling at a discount to comps early this year, I can probably find one selling for around same price. Why? Because prices in Irvine haven't moved down materially for the most part for the past 9-10 months.
When everyone got all rah rah about 2008 being a blood bath for Irvine prices early this year, after the Nov 2007 - Feb 2008 free fall, I cautioned against that notion because inventory never came back up in the early Spring to similar levels. I don't see much in the market today to cause further big declines in the near term either. Mortgage rates are low and probably getting lower. Governments are slowing/delaying foreclosures. Equity markets are probably near a bottom. Unemployment in OC, when it gets hardcore enough, will likely take another chunk out of prices, but I think we are in store for a more of a long, slow, slide vs. anything resembling the declines in late 2007/early 2008.
If things are as they are today in the Spring, i.e. mortgage rates in the 5's (or even 4's!?) and prices haven't moved down, we will probably look to "pull the trigger" as you say. With the amount of interference in the free markets the government is doing, they could drag this housing correction out for another five years and we sure as hell won't wait that long to get a place...</blockquote>
How am I reaching?
A third person, Cantaloop confirmed 23 Lookout was better than the lame example you provided.
Furthermore, you scoffed at a 15% decline off peak.
That may not mean or be much to you but to some of us that?s significant.
You?re game plan is different than mine.
When and where you decide to buy is entirely up to you.
I?m comfortable with what?s happened.
No problem stepping in even if no further declines take place.
If that?s the case, I?ll take 15% off peak and move forward.