Liar Loans

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Janet_IHB

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<p>There's been much discussion about stated income loans, which seemed to arrive at the conclusion that every one is garbage.</p>

<p>Let's start-off by saying there are plenty of people who didn't make close to what they claimed on the 1003.</p>

<p>More than plenty. OK, way more than plenty.</p>

<p>Now, what about the others?</p>

<p>First, I want to give props to the good underwriters in the industry. I've known plenty who were not born yesterday, and stop these things in their tracks.</p>

<p>Most lenders follow the mantra "it has to make sense".</p>

<p>It does not make sense for a blockbuster clerk to be earning $9,000/wk, so all good underwriters would have declined this file.</p>

<p>Underwriters also have tools at their disposal.</p>

<p>They can pull staggering amounts of information from data brokers (not borrower- or broker-provided), to help them to get a better handle on who this person is.</p>

<p>They also use services like Salary.com, to get an approximation of what different jobs are likely to pay in different areas of the country.</p>

<p>And most importantly, they have their instincts. A good underwriter will be able to judge a file in the first 5 minutes.</p>

<p>Are there examples of where this documentation style would be used absent fraud?</p>

<p>We'll start with virtually all small business people.</p>

<p>Add in all people in service industries who earn much of their income in tips.</p>

<p>Throw in all the people who have a gig on the side in addition to the 9-to-5.</p>

<p>I could go on, but I think those are a good start.</p>

<p>There's also been much talk about the farm worker who bought a home for $720,000 despite making only $14,000/yr. Before we make him our poster child for bad lending, let's examine what really happended. The way I understand it, there were two married couples (all working) chipping-in to make it work. I don't have all the facts, but my understanding is that the mortgage payment was less than their combined monthly income, but far greater than 50% of their income. I believe there was fraud on the part of their agent . I heard she proposed something along the lines of a buydown (funded by the agent) to get the payments more manageable, with the intent of refinancing them into something much lower. This is a bad agent and she should lose her license. She should have put them in a home in the $300,000-$500,000 range - at best. This loan should have been stopped at the door, but there could very easily have been a good loan for them to purchase a more modest property.</p>

<p>Should guidelines be tightend?</p>

<p>Yes. A lot.</p>

<p>Can these loans be useful in the right hands?</p>

<p>I say yes.</p>

<p>Just my $.10 - soon to be $.02.</p>
 
<p>I assume from government sources, but I'm not sure.</p>

<p>Does it over- or underestimate your income?</p>
 
<p>Janet:</p>

<p>It underestimates it. Don't get me wrong, though. I think salary.com is the closet one can get to estimating a person's salary. And, I totally agree with you that mortgage officers should check people's stories out before handing over more money than these people have made in their lifetime to them. </p>

<p> </p>
 
<p>Janet:</p>

<p>In fact...to further support your argument.... I was one of those "stated income" borrowers in 2003. I was in Residency and my parents had the downpayment and the cash to pay the monthly for several years, however not the great credit. Unfortunately, as a Resident for another year, I did not have the salary to qualify for a Jumbo loan. So, I went stated to qualify for the loan so that they could get their home. </p>

<p> </p>
 
<p>Janet:</p>

<p>Yes... things worked out well. I'm paying for their mortgage now (well, technically mine since it's in my name). And, I have a size-able deduction - which came very handy when I started actually working and earning the true income that I stated.</p>

<p>Anyway, any interests in checking out the Hearthside-homes development in Huntington Beach?</p>
 
<p>I don't know that project.</p>

<p>I bought again late last year - when I found what I think is a good value in Irvine. I'll be staying-put for the foreseeable future.</p>

<p>Didn't you buy at Pacific San Juan?</p>
 
<p>Janet:</p>

<p>Yup, purchased at Pacifica San Juan. However, instead of "confessions of an open-house junkie," my discussion would be "confessions of a model-home junkie." </p>

<p>I like to view floorplans and design elements. I'm also interested in landscaping ideas since I have to do my own very soon. </p>

<p>Also, I'm curious to know what the crowd will be like (since today is the grand opening of two of their four communities). I read on the housing blog at OCrealestatefinder.com that the project already had a dozen people who placed a reservation hold for the homes. That would be quite surprising to me if it were true. From what I've gathered from their website, these homes are pretty small and pretty high-priced for their size. Under 2000 square feet for "starting in the low $1Millions?"</p>
 
<p>Ooooh - I'm going today!</p>

<p>I'm completely obsessed with design, and too love to tour models.</p>
 
<p>Laing_Lies and Janet,</p>

<p>Please give us a report on the grand opening. According to their 10-Q they sold 12 of these homes. But after 30 years I am sure that the interest list has its fair share of VIPs i.e. former HB city council members. I don't know HB all that well but there is a project called Tuscany that has several homes listed on the MLS for $850k and below.</p>

<p>I am not a big fan of salary.com because it usually is under cutting the salary. The <a href="http://www.calmis.ca.gov/htmlfile/county/orange.htm">EDD website</a> has better income data. Under the Detailed Industry Data you can do a <a href="http://www.calmis.ca.gov/file/es202/cew-select.htm">quick query</a> to get the annual data and for more years you can do a <a href="http://www.labormarketinfo.edd.ca.gov/cgi/dataanalysis/AreaSelection.asp?tableName=Industry">detailed search</a>. You can break it down to specific jobs like mortgage brokers.</p>
 
<p>I went today.</p>

<p>I didn't know anything about this project, beyond what was in the Register, prior to today.</p>

<p>The neighborhoods I saw were not in the view positions.</p>

<p>They were in the 2,000 sq. ft. range (give-or-take). The yards were exceptionally small.</p>

<p>I thought the architecture was nice - very east coast (where I'm from), and fitting for a beach community.</p>

<p>Note to TIC: enough with the Tuscan!</p>

<p>They seemed to have 10-12 foot ceilings, which helped them a lot. And several were decorated-to-perfection. One funny thing was the upper cabinets (not the "upper", but the "upper-upper") in the kitchens would require a real ladder, a step-stool would definitely not cut it! At least they looked great.</p>

<p>I heard some complaints (can't bring in the big dining table), but I think these comments are silly. You can't get every single thing you want in a 2,000 sq. ft. home. Surely, they would be missing something else if this space were larger.</p>

<p>I'm not a fan of Huntington Beach at all. To me it lacks the class of Newport Beach, and the panache of Laguna Beach.</p>

<p>The view neighborhoods are where this project will shine (also because those will get bigger, better homes).</p>

<p>If this was all there was, I would say it's a very ordinary infill project, in a very ordinary town.</p>

<p>The pricelists did indicate many were spoken-for already. Undoubtedly, by "V.I.P.'s" (read: insiders).</p>

<p>I thought the values were in-keeping with new product in Irvine.</p>

<p> </p>

<p> </p>

<p> </p>

<p> </p>
 
<p>Urgent correction!</p>

<p>I was wrong about a couple of things.</p>

<p>After looking at the brochures closer, I see that two of the six units are closer to 1,700 sq. ft..</p>

<p>I also see that only one of the six exceeds 2,000 sq. ft.</p>

<p>And after having the benefit of a calcuator, I see that the price-per-sq.ft. for almost all of these units is close to........</p>

<p>$600!</p>

<p>Yes, $600 psf - with no view, no yard, no gate (and still needing upgrades and landscaping).</p>

<p>Maybe those V.I.P.'s should get them.</p>

<p>This makes Irvine look downright affordable!</p>
 
<p>The price sheets have exact prices for both the current phase (1A), and next phase (1B), for each of the two neighborhoods,</p>

<p>They basically have exact prices for a total of 23 units. And claimed to have sold 13 of those before opening.</p>
 
<p><strong>THE TRAILS:</strong> Plan 1 = 1,710 sqft Plan 2 = 1,755 sqft Plan 3 = 1,843-1,953 sqft</p>

<p>PHASE 1A HOMESITE PLAN PRICE </p>

<p> 24 3 $1,225,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 25 2 $1,088,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 26 3 $1,195,990</p>

<p> 49 1 $1,025,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 50 2 $1,075,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 51 1 $1,030,990 SOLD</p>

<p>PHASE 1B 21 1 $1,080,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 22 3 $1,185,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 23 2 $1,100,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 27 2 $1,088,990</p>

<p> 28 1 $1,035,990</p>

<p> 47 1 $1,025,990</p>

<p> 48 3 $1,120,990</p>
 
<p><strong>THE SANDS:</strong> Plan 1 = 1,927 sqft Plan 2 = 1,988 sqft Plan 3 = 2,161 sqft</p>

<p>PHASE 1A SITE PLAN PRICE</p>

<p> 8 1 $1,195,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 9 2 $1,214,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 10 3 $1,261,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 63 3 $1,236,990 SOLd</p>

<p> 64 2 $1,185,990</p>

<p> 65 1 $1,145,990</p>

<p>PHASE 1B 11 3 $1,263,990</p>

<p> 60 1 $1,150,990</p>

<p> 61 2 $1,195,990 SOLD</p>

<p> 62 3 $1,246,990</p>

<p> </p>
 
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