irvinehomeowner said:Isn't all currency vaporware nowadays?
US Dollar not backed by anything anymore... I miss the days of trading goats for chickens... or sheep for wood.
irvinehomeowner said:Isn't all currency vaporware nowadays?
US Dollar not backed by anything anymore... I miss the days of trading goats for chickens... or sheep for wood.
Liar Loan said:So Halos are you expecting this crash to reach an 80% loss before bottoming? It looks like that's what happened in 2014.
Also, looking at your second chart, the launch of Coinbase was the catalyst for the current run of Bitcoin. It's what allowed so many clueless speculators to jump into the market without many technical hurdles to deal with. It would be like the launch of the New York Stock Exchange for stock investors, or the advent of online trading in the 90's which contributed to the tech bubble.
The only way Bitcoin goes up from here is if new blood enters the market, creating more demand than supply. Do you expect another market changing event like the launch of Coinbase to be the catalyst this time?
Liar Loan said:Halos said:There are so many angles to cryptocurrency, one of them is the ability for Chinese to launder their money via crypto. If you believe Bitcoin is going to zero, you also need to believe that capital controls in China will work.
A lot of people will FOMO hard again as the price climbs (as it is now) and panic buy. We'll blow past 20K this year no problem. It may go down again to 5K, or we could see 12K by Monday...who knows but the long term trend is not Bitcoin going to zero.
I don't necessarily think the value is going to zero. It will continue to have value as a black market transaction system. If world governments somehow find a way to de-anonymize the data, then I could see it going to zero because at that point the bad actors will move on to other "currencies".
However, as an investor I think Bitcoin has zero intrinsic value. There's no cashflow and no value as a commodity. Most buyers couldn't even explain what it is you own when purchasing bitcoin.
It's also not scarce as the blockchain is open source and there are currently at least 2,000 cryptocurrencies in existence. Bitcoin may not go to zero but 99.9% of the other currencies that people are speculating on will.
All that said, you could be right about the short term prospects. If enough people believe the price will reach $20,000 this year, then it will. The investing thesis for bitcoin is one of faith in its future prospects.
It's also possible that this is the end of the road as a lot of people got burned buying in December and lost their shorts in the recent crash. How much remaining FOMO exists is hard to say.
aquabliss said:Robinhood is going to have crypto trading soon, I signed up but they don?t tell you how long the wait is... I?ll give it a try once it?s commission free on Robinhood.
Liar Loan said:Think of it this way. If government currencies didn't exist and they were all privately created, would you rather use a currency created by Warren Buffett, or the currency of some 21 year old tech bro that lives in a filthy dorm in San Francisco? Who would be more likely to dilute the currency for personal gain?
id_rather_be_racing said:Halos - FYI, Bittrex will be rolling out sometime this year USD trading pairs for their alt coins. Until more exchanges offer this (Bitfinex doesn't count since US customers are banned from trading there), BTC will dictate how most coins/tokens move.
I've actually started looking into assigning betas using BTC as the base. You'll be surprised at the results (e.g. XRP behaves like 3x leverage).
irvinehomeowner said:Liar Loan said:Think of it this way. If government currencies didn't exist and they were all privately created, would you rather use a currency created by Warren Buffett, or the currency of some 21 year old tech bro that lives in a filthy dorm in San Francisco? Who would be more likely to dilute the currency for personal gain?
It wouldn't work that way in reality.
It would go back to the barter and trade days. Don't you watch post apocalyptic movies? Drinkable water would become the new bitcoin.
Liar Loan said:irvinehomeowner said:Liar Loan said:Think of it this way. If government currencies didn't exist and they were all privately created, would you rather use a currency created by Warren Buffett, or the currency of some 21 year old tech bro that lives in a filthy dorm in San Francisco? Who would be more likely to dilute the currency for personal gain?
It wouldn't work that way in reality.
It would go back to the barter and trade days. Don't you watch post apocalyptic movies? Drinkable water would become the new bitcoin.
It has worked that way in the past.
irvinehomeowner said:Liar Loan said:irvinehomeowner said:Liar Loan said:Think of it this way. If government currencies didn't exist and they were all privately created, would you rather use a currency created by Warren Buffett, or the currency of some 21 year old tech bro that lives in a filthy dorm in San Francisco? Who would be more likely to dilute the currency for personal gain?
It wouldn't work that way in reality.
It would go back to the barter and trade days. Don't you watch post apocalyptic movies? Drinkable water would become the new bitcoin.
It has worked that way in the past.
I don't think it would work that way if the meteor/zombie virus/nuclear warhead hit today.
A value system would need to be established locally/regionally/countrywide and that would have to be based on goods that have utility value initially.
A new paper currency system would not emerge until much later.
But I forget you don't watch much TV so you may not watch Fear The Walking Dead or any Mad Max movie.