[quote author="freedomCM" date=1237601391][quote author="Maltese" date=1237551293]Seriously? 625k? It is basically a new custom home for around the construction cost. That would mean the land was free. I think you are way pessimistic. You will be lucky if you can find a tear down for 500k in Mariners district but then you need to build.</blockquote>
It sounds as if you are trying to assign a value to the house, rather than determining what the market value is, or will be.
I agree with no-vas' estimate of $625k.
Not so much because of costs, but because there just are not a lot of buyers who have $175k incomes who want to live there. The market just isn't there to support $400/sf in even the best part (which this is) of CM. And the buyers that do exist will want to live in the nearby parts of NPB if they are going to pay $400/sf.</blockquote>
Look at the Redfin comps:
Nearby Similar Sales
Closest homes similar to 385 Broadway, which sold within the past six months:
$614,500
2345 E 16th St
Sold on Mar 03, 2009 0.65 miles
3 bd / 2 ba
2,021 Sq. Ft.
$1,445,000
2001 Holiday Rd
Sold on Mar 16, 2009 0.8 miles
3 bd / 3 ba
2,137 Sq. Ft.
$975,000
2407 Sierra Vis
Sold on Nov 14, 2008 0.98 miles
2 bd / 2 ba
2,065 Sq. Ft.
Range: $614,500 - $1,445,000
Average: $484/Sq. Ft.
This home at $484/Sq. Ft.: $1,210,325
I think we can agree that the Nov sale on Sierra Vis is too old and should be thrown out. So, which remaining sale is the better comp? Holiday Road, in which case it looks like they can get asking or higher, or the one on 16th St, where $625k or a little more is reasonable?
Checking the history on the two comps, the 16 St one is for sale again at $895k. Looks like a flip. Maybe it was in bad shape and they fixed it up, although they relisted it ten days after buying it, so that's not much time to do anything of significance. Also of note is that it's a flag lot, which tend to sell for less.
Also, both comps have three bedrooms (and less square footage), while this one has four.
In any case, houses above the local jumbo limit seem to take forever to sell right now. So maybe they might get a million plus, but it might take them six months to do so.