buying a condo in approx 10 months?

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John.Doe_IHB

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Well, I don't know if that is common in this blog, but I just wanted to introduce myself and tell about my plans ;)

My name is Alex and I moved from Germany to SoCal about 3 years ago and have been renting in Irvine ever since. Now as everybody in this blog seems to agree, the market seems to develop in favor of the buyer and as rents constantly go up I plan to buy some day soon. The idea is to get the foot into the housing market and to accumulate some wealth instead of just burning money by paying rent.

I crunched the numbers once already and with tax deduction, assumed HOA of $200 and so forth, a mortgage of roughly 300K would be equal to my rent. I am willing to go a little bit above that, if necessary, after all I was able to save money for a downpayment while paying rent, so I could pay a more without letting my life style suffer too much.

What I will be looking for is most likely Condo with approx. 1000sq (+/-200), it should have a den or a second bed room and a balcony or patio and it shouldn't be too old, maybe up to 10 years (the newer the better). As I am currently living in Irvine, I somehow became attached to the area between Irvine Blvd./Jeffreys/Jamboree and then the Jamboree down to the 405. A place in these areas would be nice, but I am quite flexible and something further in the north, mabye as far as Anaheim Hills, would be OK, too. I don't know if it is realistic to find something like this for up to $350K (the less the better of course), but that is one of the reasons I registered here to get some feedback. Afterall... I never owned a home so I am as unexperienced as one can be and furthermore, I am a foreigner in the country which makes things probably more difficult.

I thought, that the market will probably bottom out in about a year, but after reading some of the entries in this blog here, the opinion seems to be, that the market will decline much longer and far further than I would have guessed. Although, that the builders have frozen some projects, e.g. like Central Park, to control the inventory on the market and try to keep the prices stable, makes my think, that it might not decline that much. Nevertheless, I am not in a hurry to buy and will watch the market (and this blog ;)) closely over the next view months and see how things develop.



Alex
 
oooohhhh yeahhh this is gonna be a good one... brace yourself alex...



you will hear anything from buy now to buy never....



no matter what people say... do your own math, find a home you LOVE and can afford in the long run (no crazy financing) and then buy it and enjoy it....
 
<em>"The idea is to get the foot into the housing market and to accumulate some wealth instead of just burning money by paying rent."</em>





Wealth will not accumulate when the asset you purchase is declining in value. If this is really your goal, you should continue renting.





I suggest you read <strong> <a title="Permanent Link to Rent Versus Own" rel="bookmark" href="http://www.irvinehousingblog.com/2008/01/14/rent-versus-own/" linkindex="12" set="yes">Rent Versus Own</a></strong>. It may be of some benefit to your calculations on the cost of ownership.





<em>"the builders have frozen some projects, e.g. like Central Park, to control the inventory on the market and try to keep the prices stable,"</em>





The builders have frozen projects because they cannot generate any sales at current price points. It has nothing to do with trying to keep prices stable (although they would probably like that if it occurred.)
 
IrvineRenter, the "Rent vs. Own" is more detailed, than other texts if have briefly read about it so far (besides punching in some numbers in some of these premade calculators), so I will redo my calculations to see "what if" with all factors included mentioned in there.

Buying while the market is declining is obviously a bad choice, that is why I try to inform myself far ahead to see if it makes sense to buy and when. "By the end of the year" was just my initial set timeframe and I will certainly adjust it to market conditions. Although, IF prices fall enough, so that renting would equally expensive as buying something comparable or better than I currently live in, then it might still make sense to buy as I will then live in that place for a couple of years and I can wait through bottoms of the market... that is not exactly desirable of course, buying at the low point of the market is probably the dream of any house buyer ;)
 
<em>"Although, IF prices fall enough, so that renting would equally expensive as buying something comparable or better than I currently live in, then it might still make sense to buy as I will then live in that place for a couple of years and I can wait through bottoms of the market..."</em>





That statement is true, and when prices drop that low, I will buy as well. We will probably start seeing individual properties meeting this criteria in 2009, and most of the properties on the market will meet this criteria by 2011.
 
We have been looking for townhouse in the price range of $ 350-410K...in the area of Fountain Valley, Huntington Beach and Irvine. There are none. If you don't mind Tustin, Garden Grove, Anaheim...you will have plenty in this price range. We saw TH in Fountain Valley listed at $ 465K bank owed. Someone make the offer of full listing price (dumb dumb). So, we are just sitting here waiting for them to default on their loans, so we can buy it cheaper than they did in 2007.



Also listed $ 499K in Huntington Beach ( it's house)....someone make the offer full price again (4bedrooms/2baths fixer fixer 1200 sq ft) I think lots of people are jumping in the market, because they are afraid it will up again and they are price out...but I think...if we waited this long to buy, might as well wait for another year.
 
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