[quote author="graphrix" date=1238255975][quote author="genie117" date=1238225956]So how much more do you think prices will drop? Another 10%? 20%?
Shouldn't you take into account the tax deduction you would have receive over those two years when instead you are paying rent still and more taxes? Just my thoughts.
[quote author="graphrix" date=1238225112]In two years interest rates will still be the same and artificially low due to the Fed still buying MBS, property prices will be lower, and we might finally be back on the road to recovery. I have a pretty goo track record of being too optimistic about the housing market, so it could actually be worse.
P.S. Mello roos are not tax deductible. I recommend you consult your accountant, and find one that says they are not deductible, otherwise I would hate to be audited if I were you.</blockquote></blockquote>
Prices for 1 bedrooms will drop 20% or more. They will drop to below rental parity, because that is what they did in the 90s, and this recession is worse than the 90s. 1 bedrooms dropping below rental parity is in the bag. Mark my words, in the bag.
How much of a tax break are you expecting? I don't know what your purchase price is, but if you have a $250k loan amount, and an interest rate of 4.75%, then that $20k in interest that you can partially offset your taxes with over two years really doesn't seem like it will make up for the fact that you can rent a 1 bedroom in Irvine for $1600-$1800.
I really suggest you speak with an accountant. Discussing tax breaks with a salesperson, er I mean loan officer, is like asking a car salesperson if a car is reliable, they don't care and they will tell you what you want to hear... the car is as reliable as big as a tax break is on a home. Trust me, I speak from experience, as a LO and as someone who has written off interest. I think you are expecting a lot more than you will ever get. You are expecting a BMW, but at the end of the year you will realize you just got a Ford.
Take it for what it is worth, but keep in mind rental rates will go down in the coming years and stay flat for some time to come. If you can't cover the costs to rent it out now, then in the next few years you won't be able to either. Again, I speak from experience, even though I was able to raise my rents in a down market, but that is how you do it, if you know how. Be fearful when everyone is greedy, and be greedy when everyone is fearful. A tried and true Buffett statement.</blockquote>
Graphcakes...you can now get a 1-bedroom IAC apartment for around $1,350-$1,400 today. Seeing that rents are coming down makes less sense to buy a property now...I'll let the dust settle before I pull the trigger (plus once I have a full-time job).