Why Real Estate won't bottom anytime soon...

NEW -> Contingent Buyer Assistance Program

optimusprime_IHB

New member
<a href="http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=newsarchive&sid=a3wcCqRA_.RM">Fed Funds Rise Most Over Target in Decade as Banks Hoard Cash</a>

By Liz Capo McCormick



Sept. 15 (Bloomberg) -- The rate for overnight loans between banks soared to its greatest margin over the Federal Reserve's target rate in at least a decade as banks hoard cash after Lehman Brothers Holdings Inc.'s bankruptcy.



Fed funds traded as high as 6 percent, or 4 percentage points above the Fed's target, according to ICAP Plc, the world's largest inter-dealer broker. The difference is the greatest since Bloomberg began tracking the data in 1998.



The central bank uses repurchase agreements, or repos, to temporarily buy or sell Treasury, mortgage-backed and so-called agency debt for a set period, to help maintain enough money in the system to keep overnight interest rates close to the target. They don't signal a policy shift. Futures show traders boasted odds to 54 percent that the Fed will cut rates when policy makers meet tomorrow to offset financial market turmoil.



``If the fed funds rate closes high today, I would be really worried as it would mean that there really is no money out there to be lent,'' said Stan Jonas, who trades interest- rate derivatives at Axiom Management Partners LLC in New York.
 
Watching this train wreck for the past year and half has been very entertaining. But you have not seen nothing yet. There is still another 5 innings of this. I got the popcorn...
 
Just read the LIBOR which is used as index for adjustable mortgage loans as an index just doubled from 3.10625% to 6.43750%. Ouch...can you say more foreclosures...Banks do not want to lend banks money. Oh, and the Russian stock market dropped 17% today and they had to close the market. This is a banner day...
 
[quote author="OCCOBRA" date=1221620778]Just read the LIBOR which is used as index for adjustable mortgage loans as an index just doubled from 3.10625% to 6.43750%. Ouch...can you say more foreclosures...Banks do not want to lend banks money. Oh, and the Russian stock market dropped 17% today and they had to close the market. This is a banner day...</blockquote>


Doesn't it make you want to laugh when you hear folks talking about how the low ten year or the F&F takeover will bring down mortgage rates?
 
There are still people coming in the sales office thinking that there is 100% financing available still. It boggles my mind how many people have no idea what is going on. F&F are going the way of the Dodo bird...
 
[quote author="optimusprime" date=1221704874]Anyone see the 3-month T-Bill today!??!



0.01% yield at one point today...can we go negative like Japan?</blockquote>


Absolutely.
 
[quote author="optimusprime" date=1221704874]Anyone see the 3-month T-Bill today!??!



0.01% yield at one point today...can we go negative like Japan?</blockquote>
That's because everyone and their cousin was scrambling to park their money in them while the blood runs off the street. It's all about supply and demand.
 
I've read on here where people are wondering where are all those investors who said they would buy once home valued drops XX%... the latest article in the OC Register states that homes sales are up so there are some people who are diving back in.



The question is... are they diving too early? This forum seems to think so... all the IHB vets are pointing to 2010-12... is that still true?
 
[quote author="irvine_home_owner" date=1221868147]I've read on here where people are wondering where are all those investors who said they would buy once home valued drops XX%... the latest article in the OC Register states that homes sales are up so there are some people who are diving back in.



The question is... are they diving too early? This forum seems to think so... all the IHB vets are pointing to 2010-12... is that still true?</blockquote>


It?s all relative.

IMO, there are still quite a few stubborn sellers that won?t entertain offers below their asking price.

One seller responded to my offer by telling me he wouldn?t give it away.
 
[quote author="irvine_home_owner" date=1221868147]I've read on here where people are wondering where are all those investors who said they would buy once home valued drops XX%... <strong>the latest article in the OC Register states that homes sales are up so there are some people who are diving back in.</strong>



The question is... are they diving too early? This forum seems to think so... all the IHB vets are pointing to 2010-12... is that still true?</blockquote>


Which article..the one regarding home sales skyrocketing? If so...that's because more than 50% of them were from foreclosures!
 
[quote author="optimusprime" date=1221869417]Which article..the one regarding home sales skyrocketing? If so...that's because more than 50% of them were from foreclosures!</blockquote>
Not that one... "skyrocketing" is not a term I would believe anyways.



It was in today's paper that sales numbers were up... and you are probably right... a bulk are probably shorts or foreclosures... but that still does mean that someone is buying now... look at usc... his condo sold for actually MORE than what he bought if for and he bought near the peak.
 
[quote author="irvine_home_owner" date=1221872656][quote author="optimusprime" date=1221869417]Which article..the one regarding home sales skyrocketing? If so...that's because more than 50% of them were from foreclosures!</blockquote>
Not that one... "skyrocketing" is not a term I would believe anyways.



It was in today's paper that sales numbers were up... and you are probably right... a bulk are probably shorts or foreclosures... but that still does mean that someone is buying now... look at usc... his condo sold for actually MORE than what he bought if for and he bought near the peak.</blockquote>
I did buy in the peak period, but I did not pay a peak period price. I paid just under $300/sf and the peak pricing was just under $400/sf.
 
Back
Top