Propaganda, I'm mean news from the NAR

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<big class="pr"><strong>AP</strong></big>


Realtors Group Lowers Housing Forecast


Wednesday August 8, 10:17 am ET















Real Estate Trade Group Lowers Housing Sales Forecast Amid Market's Slump WASHINGTON (AP) -- A trade group for real estate agents on Wednesday lowered its outlook for existing home sales this year by 1 percent, or 70,000 homes, as the housing market continues to slump.

<p>The National Association of Realtors' revised forecast calls for existing home sales of 6.04 million in 2007, down from July's prediction of 6.11 million this year. The trade group expects sales to climb to 6.38 million next year, up slightly from July's forecast of 6.37 million.</p>

<p>Sales in both years are projected to be below last year's level of 6.48 million.</p>

<p><strong>"With the population growing, the demand for homes isn't going away it's just being delayed," Lawrence Yun, NAR's senior economist, said in a statement. "More buyers, and cutbacks in new construction, will eventually draw down the inventory levels and support future price appreciation, but general gains will be modest next year. Serious buyers today have a long-term view of housing as an investment -- speculators have left the market."</strong></p>

<p>As for new homes, sales are projected at 852,000 in 2007 and 848,000 next year, down from the nearly 1.1 million new homes sold in 2006.</p>

<p>More than 1.4 million housing starts, including multifamily units, are forecast this year and in 2008, but that is down from 1.8 million last year.</p>

<p>Median nationwide existing-home prices are expected to fall by 1.2 percent to a median of $219,300 this year, before climbing back next year to $223,600.</p>




More Kool-Aid for everyone!!!! Do you guys think that the NAR will have an estimate below 6 million?





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<p>And of course, the market ate it up. What a joke. From CNN Money-</p>

<p>"On the economic front, the National Association of Realtors said Wednesday it expected home sales will <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2007/08/08/news/economy/bc.usa.economy.housing.reut/index.htm?postversion=2007080810">continue to slow</a> this year, but noted that home prices will drop far less than originally expected.</p>

<p>Shares of homebuilders such as <a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=PHM&source=story_quote_link">Pulte Homes</a> (up $2.47 to $22.85, <a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/chart/chart.html?symb=PHM&source=story_charts_link">Charts</a>, <a href="http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune500/2007/snapshots/1094.html?source=story_f500_link">Fortune 500</a>) and <a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=BZH&source=story_quote_link">Beazer Homes USA</a> (up $3.12 to $15.15, <a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/chart/chart.html?symb=BZH&source=story_charts_link">Charts</a>, <a href="http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune500/2007/snapshots/184.html?source=story_f500_link">Fortune 500</a>) jumped on the news. Even shares of <a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/quote.html?symb=TOL&source=story_quote_link">Toll Bros.</a> (up $1.73 to $24.68, <a href="http://money.cnn.com/quote/chart/chart.html?symb=TOL&source=story_charts_link">Charts</a>, <a href="http://money.cnn.com/magazines/fortune/fortune500/2007/snapshots/1435.html?source=story_f500_link">Fortune 500</a>), which issued <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2007/08/08/news/companies/bc.tollbrothers.preliminary.reut/index.htm?postversion=2007080807">a revenue warning</a> earlier Wednesday, jumped nearly 8 percent."</p>

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I dont think that's why the market ate it up. Someone from the Register Blog said it correctly. Opportunistic Wall Street drove down the prices. Fed rates was steady, so they bought low, sold high.
 
<p>>>>...home prices will drop far less than originally expected.<<<</p>

<p>Can anyone please oh please tell me how this statement could be justified?</p>
 
The market was all gaga over CSCO earnings. The 68-72% of the GDP which is starting to suffer (the consumer) has little to do with CSCO. It's just businesses slinging CapEx around as if the boom will go on forever. Anyone see the ugly numbers from Polo Ralph Lauren?
 
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