"If you think a publicly traded homebuilder would rather slow down or stop construction to wait for the market to come back you are crazy."
I work for a lender, and yes, the homebuilders are slowing construction to contract supply, and they are still talking about pent up demands in certain pocketed areas. Whether this is just BS or not, I don't know. IMO, though, I think this is a short term solution to appease the shareholders about maintaining profit margin. Long term...if this market slows down or is more protracted and is worst than predicted, they have to face the reality by drastic and aggressive price reductions. In fact, they are still hoping for a good home shopping spring season to push their inventories through, and if it doesn't happen, the housing bears will have a feast come the end of the year.