socalhousingbubble_IHB
New member
<p>Great walk-through of the mortgage cluster-eff by Allan Sloan.</p>
<p> <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2007/10/15/markets/junk_mortgages.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2007101609">http://money.cnn.com/2007/10/15/markets/junk_mortgages.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2007101609</a></p>
<p>Reasonably comprehensible explantion of mortgage tranches and how easily the lower ones get wiped out when things turn bad (like is happening now).</p>
<p>Most interesting aspect is that Goldman was shorting against the very securties they had wrapped up in a bow and sold to investors:</p>
<p><em><strong>"Goldman said it made money in the third quarter by shorting an index of mortgage-backed securities. That prompted Fortune to ask the firm to explain to us how it had managed to come out ahead while so many of its mortgage-backed customers were getting stomped. </strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>Goldman's profits came from hedging the mortgage securities it keeps in inventory in order to make trading markets. It said in a recent SEC filing, "Although we recognized significant losses on our non-prime mortgage loans and securities, those losses were more than offset by gains on short mortgage positions." </strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>As we interpret this - the firm declined to elaborate - Goldman made more on its hedges than it lost on its inventory because junk mortgages fell even more sharply than Goldman thought they would. "</strong></em></p>
<p>My question is, was is really <em>just </em>hedging, or did they realize how rotten this muck really was?</p>
<p>-SCHB</p>
<p> <a href="http://money.cnn.com/2007/10/15/markets/junk_mortgages.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2007101609">http://money.cnn.com/2007/10/15/markets/junk_mortgages.fortune/index.htm?postversion=2007101609</a></p>
<p>Reasonably comprehensible explantion of mortgage tranches and how easily the lower ones get wiped out when things turn bad (like is happening now).</p>
<p>Most interesting aspect is that Goldman was shorting against the very securties they had wrapped up in a bow and sold to investors:</p>
<p><em><strong>"Goldman said it made money in the third quarter by shorting an index of mortgage-backed securities. That prompted Fortune to ask the firm to explain to us how it had managed to come out ahead while so many of its mortgage-backed customers were getting stomped. </strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>Goldman's profits came from hedging the mortgage securities it keeps in inventory in order to make trading markets. It said in a recent SEC filing, "Although we recognized significant losses on our non-prime mortgage loans and securities, those losses were more than offset by gains on short mortgage positions." </strong></em></p>
<p><em><strong>As we interpret this - the firm declined to elaborate - Goldman made more on its hedges than it lost on its inventory because junk mortgages fell even more sharply than Goldman thought they would. "</strong></em></p>
<p>My question is, was is really <em>just </em>hedging, or did they realize how rotten this muck really was?</p>
<p>-SCHB</p>