<p>I won't recommend the dart toss I pulled to get in my first CD. I was a confident dollar bear (still am) and heard about Everbank via a newsletter I read. At the time South African Rand was the highest-yield CD they had, at around 7.75. I thought any currency had to be better than the USD, so I jumped in. Bad timing. I've been paying taxes on the interest every year while watching the exchange rate move against me. All told I've made maybe 2%/year on average overall on ZAR.</p>
<p>My 2nd play was a little more opportunistic, though still not quite well educated. They added Icelandic Krona to their mix at some point, paying ~13%, and I was watching it for a while. Soon after they began offering it the currency took a nosedive of over 10%...just way out of line. I couldn't find any headline news to explain it, so I took it to be a temporary discount and I wired funds in one day (with no warning to Everbank--kind of cavalier in hindsight really). They called and asked what I wanted to do with it, and I had them put it in ISK for me. ISK regressed and has been green to date, but it has not been a mover like the euro, canadian $, NZ $, etc. I'm happy with the 12% interest, and the currency move is gravy.</p>
<p>Now I am 2 months away from having an MBA and I know a lot more. Trade deficits and inflation rates matter! I also know how to calculate covariances, standard deviations and betas. The Brazilian Real is tempting me with that fat return, but this time I won't buy it without doing a lot of analysis first. The euro or australian dollar may still be the best investment. I LOVE the Chinese Yuan too. It's undervalued by at least 30%, probably more, but still restrained quite a bit from where it "ought" to be. Some day they will have to let it float much more freely, but when? And what if the CCP pulls a Chavez and declare foreign holdings worthless? I really don't think they will, but the black swan is always out there.</p>
<p>The last product I got in on was a "MarketSafe" CD. It's a product for people who like the idea of saying they play with big boy investments, but without the big boy risk. It's a 3-year CD that guarantees a return of your capital in the worst case, while giving you access to upside moves in whatever item it tracks--in my case the Dow Jones commodity index. It's a very watered down vehicle. They take most of the invested capital...probably about 85% of it, and put them into bonds. That's how they guaranty a return of your principle. The other 15% is used to buy long-term options on the index (probably at least 1 set of contracts per year). If it moves up big they can make a nice profit. If not I've only lost out on opportunity costs and inflation. </p>
<p>Now ask me about buying loonies when gold was trading under $300/oz.
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