Personally, I think it is the builders that will be the catalyst that drive the prices down rapidly. Resale homes will tend to be sticky, because sellers have the higher prices imprinted in their minds. Then there are recent buyers that have no way to drop prices, since they owe more than the current pricing. But between banks selling foreclosures at market price (hasn't happened yet), and builders needing to make sales, I feel that prices will be back to 2001 by the end of next year. The builders will drive it... if they don't make sales, they go bankrupt. And then you have a lot more foreclosures... which leaves it to the banks. Complicated... but this will be rapid.