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Can someone define spike so we don?t have to move the goal posts either direction, later?  Number of cases?  Deaths? Gimme a number!

imagine already being nervous going to the dentist and adding a little claustrophobia to top it off Yeah, if it's the aerosol box, I'd decline if it was an option. Too claustrophobic for me.

I just went for my cleaning at Sean Yu's office. Everybody had a gown, mask, eye protection. They told me they have a patient shield being delivered soon. From their description it sounds like a clear plastic box with arm inserts like they use with NICU babies who need isolation.

Any news on jumbo refi rates?  Just read this:https://www.housingwire.com/articles/sprout-mortgage-rolls-out-new-jumbo-mortgage-program-for-loans-up-to-3-million/ But no rate information.

Somebody posted the MR for Altair before, hits $20k. https://www.talkirvine.com/index.php/topic,11860.msg269359.html#msg269359

Guessing I had Covid end of February. I?ll take the vaccine just to avoid that misery.

I saw a Y heading towards Pavilion Park.  I would buy a Y over a 3.

Karen Kolb Sehlke felt the media was making people "panic like sheep."  Look her up.

Rheum patients taking chronic Plaquenil are finding shortages. Sucks for them.

NYC is bad. My optimism went out the window. When you graduate medical students early just to join in, ask for anybody with an expired license to work, ask for CRNAs to work unsupervised, it's just a free for all. Density is killing NYC.

Got this from a local colleague. Snipped this data for age ranges 31-40, 41-50, 51-60. Blue is inpatient. Orange is outpatient. This is civilian data so likely a greater percentage of the unhealthy patients. Still, the virus is not sparing younger folks.

Most everybody is going to get this virus. Some small percent are going to die from ARDS/myocarditis regardless of treatment. We need to avoid unnecessary deaths like Italy's situation aka "Rock, Papers, Scissors" vent selection which means pacing the infection rate aka flattening the curve...

Totally agree. But I'm still asking the same question: what number of deaths changes your mind?  I like Germany's idea:https://www.yahoo.com/news/germany-could-issue-hundreds-thousands-114500027.html

So what's the magic number that justifies a shutdown?  20k?  100k?  1 million dead? I'm all for getting people back to work and restarting the economy but you know it comes with additional deaths. What number of deaths justifies that? I see several people continuing to push for lifting of...

Going with 10k-20k range.  Call me an optimist.  Doesn't matter, if we get lower numbers than predicted, some people will claim "I told you it's just the flu!" and the others will say "It's because we shutdown!" Would be helpful if we had a rapid reliable IgM/IgG test so that exposed people...

US daily deaths hit 402 today, up from 268 yesterday. I think we?re going to approach Italy/Spain?s rates from the numbers coming out of Louisiana, Michigan, and Philly.

Holy sh1t, Italy had 919 deaths in a day.

Another model from UW, includes state by state breakdown with projected timelines:https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections Sample items: 1. California will hit 6k deaths around June 1. 2. NY (state) will hit 10k deaths around May 1.

NY is hurting. Colleague sent me a photo of Commisioner Zuckers letter offering to immediately recertify any healthcare providers (physicians, nurses, NPs, PAs, respiratory therapists, EMTs, etc) with expired licenses.  I'm sure they're hoping for the recently retired but not sure if they're...

Seeing the #'s out of Italy and Spain, I'd rather quarantine now instead of later.  They're using an ice rink as a morgue. https://www.bbc.com/news/world-europe-52014023