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  1. S

    Housing Analysis

    I would also argue a lot of them have support from parents/relatives for the down payment to not require 350k income to get a loan.
  2. S

    Stock picks

    This is very interesting and informative. Thanks for the details.
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    Housing Analysis

    You really think local people would buy 1m+ for a condo if it wasn’t for FCB? Irvine is inland, not coastal.
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    Housing Analysis

    as long as it's not foreign buyers, i don't care.
  5. S

    Housing Analysis

    simple. tax foreign ownership so high that it makes zero sense for foreign owners to have RE in US. Irvine will go down so fast that it won't even be funny.
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    Macro Economics and Personal Finance

    I’m not going to stand here saying the fed is perfect. But at the same time, we need to recognize their job is difficult. Hindsight is always 20/20. I think they did a decent job taking inflation from 9% to now 3%. I do think they are doing their best and with their current approach, I’m not as...
  7. S

    Macro Economics and Personal Finance

    We need to raise rates, not lower.
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    Irvine Blvd - Toll brothers - pre-selling

    rates have been shooting up and I would argue we might need to increase rates if cpi keeps on coming in hot. Nowhere near decreasing rates. It’s either stay as is or it goes up at this point. So with new construction you have to wait 6+ months for the home to be built assuming no delays to...
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    Irvine Blvd - Toll brothers - pre-selling

    because their priority list is closed?
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    How high will mortgage rates climb in the next 36 months?

    you're right but that wasn't my point. point is there will always be more people than homes. even with the 2008 recession, inventory nationwide rose to 3m? It's now 1m I think? So using number of individuals in an area to show if there exists demand or not is not a good representation of market...
  11. S

    How high will mortgage rates climb in the next 36 months?

    but how many of those 1.1million buyers are actually buying with rates at this high?
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    Irvine Starter Homes 2024

    what does 100k for building cost cover? Foundation? lol
  13. S

    Macro Economics and Personal Finance

    I think I've been the only one saying that we weren't near rate cuts any time soon in 2023. My gut tells me inflation is way too sticky to lower rates anytime soon. I'll be surprised if we even see any cut this year unless a black swan event occurs.
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    Newer Irvine listings with crazy WTF asking prices from equity sellers

    there are “underground” banks in China that help facilitate these types of transactions
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    Newer Irvine listings with crazy WTF asking prices from equity sellers

    4% buyers commission for a 5m home.
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    Why Do the Chinese Love Irvine?

    from my experience I see Koreans actually being primary residence owners rather than investors
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    Homeowner's Insurance - anyone successfully insure a condo?

    Arent you better off getting umbrella insurance instead of an LLC? Unless you have many rental properties or a big unit where umbrella wouldn’t be able to cover
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    New communities in Portola Springs

    I’ve mentioned it before but shea isn’t about maximizing profits but rather focus on selling a great product. They did the same for Teresina.
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    6% commission

    This change makes it more difficult for first time buyers to purchase a house. Sellers are the ones benefiting most from this.
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